THE LUX DYNASTY | 2025 FINAL QB PROJECTIONS AND TIERED RANKINGS

Aug 31

Most final cuts and roster movements have been made, and it’s time as fantasy managers to make those last final tweaks to our teams. Here are my final projections I am locking them in. Projections are base off Standard PPR scoring and 6pt Passing TDs.

Catch my weekly sit/start and tiered rankings breakdown at DynastyNerds.com throughout the season.

TIER ONE

Lock these QBs in as your weekly starter. Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Joe Burrow all expect to win a Super Bowl, while Jayden Daniels doesn’t know he’s supposed to wait. Hurts won’t be satisfied with only the one. This group has the talent, motivation, and situations to be the likely QB1 overall.

  ELITE QB TIER
1. Josh Allen – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  345
  530
  3978
  29
  6
  533
  8
  419.49
  24.68
2. Lamar Jackson – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  324
  493
  3992
  33
  9
  809
  3
  416.01
  24.47
3. Jayden Daniels – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  366
  546
  3822
  27
  11
  816
  7
  408.49
  24.03
4. Joe Burrow – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  461
  664
  4912
  40
  13
  111
  0
  407.95
  24.00
5. Jalen Hurts – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  334
  498
  3786
  25
  8
  652
  12
  405.20
  23.84

TIER TWO

This group lacks the rushing upside (or the lack of defensive support, in Joe’s case). Justin Herbert pushes his ceiling for rushing, while Brock Purdy displays that legendary Shanahan efficiency.

  PROLIFIC PASSERS
6. Baker Mayfield – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    389
    572
    4179
    33
    13
    220
    2
    358.00
    21.06
  
7. Justin Herbert – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    364
    536
    4071
    27
    7
    378
    3
    354.34
    20.84
  
8. Patrick Mahomes – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    387
    578
    4160
    31
    12
    271
    2
    352.11
    20.71
  
9. Brock Purdy – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    364
    543
    4509
    30
    12
    201
    1
    349.87
    20.58
  

TIER THREE

These second-year QBs want to deliver gridiron greatness. Mixed reviews for this group. Bo Nix impressed, Drake Maye flashed, J.J. McCarthy passed, and Caleb looked overmatched. There are fewer excuses in year two, and the upside and teams are in place.

  SOPHOMORE CORNERSTONE QBs
10. J.J. McCarthy – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    371
    562
    3987
    29
    12
    330
    3
    346.09
    20.36
  
11. Caleb Williams – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    363
    567
    3970
    27
    10
    377
    3
    345.40
    20.32
  
12. Drake Maye – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    368
    549
    3895
    27
    12
    432
    4
    344.20
    20.25
  
16. Bo Nix – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    366
    546
    3711
    27
    11
    401
    4
    340.42
    20.02
  

TIER FOUR

These QBs are at a crossroads. C.J. Stroud and Trevor Lawrence are young and talented, but haven’t displayed the fantasy prowess or consistency to be a QB1. Kyler Murray and Dak Prescott have questions on if they can return to their fantasy glory.

  CROSSROADS QBs
13. C.J. Stroud – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    365
    562
    4156
    29
    8
    230
    1
    342.69
    20.16
  
14. Dak Prescott – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    401
    599
    4314
    31
    14
    207
    1
    341.08
    20.06
  
15. Trevor Lawrence – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    376
    578
    4045
    29
    13
    272
    3
    340.87
    20.05
  
17. Kyler Murray – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    375
    559
    3914
    23
    11
    471
    4
    334.16
    19.66
  

TIER FIVE

Jared Goff is losing his beloved OC. Jordan Love just had surgery before the season, and Matthew Stafford seems like he may need to any day.

  POCKET PURISTS
18. Jared Goff – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    382
    570
    4330
    30
    11
    71
    1
    329.25
    19.37
  
19. Jordan Love – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    346
    541
    3947
    30
    14
    125
    1
    316.76
    18.63
  
20. Matthew Stafford – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    371
    562
    4212
    29
    12
    56
    0
    311.22
    18.31
  

TIER SIX

This tier is full of players who can drop QB1 numbers on any given week, but I’m not expecting them. Jaxson Dart showed the tools for fantasy deliciousness, while Tua Tagovailoa runs a high-powered offense (we think). Justin Fields and Daniel Jones can put up big weeks with their legs alone. Is Bryce Young reborn, and can Michael Penix Jr finally make it click in Atlanta?

  WILD CARDS
21. Jaxon Dart – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    170
    258
    1934
    13
    6
    152
    1
    162.61
    18.07
  
22. Justin Fields – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    296
    470
    3290
    18
    10
    578
    6
    302.67
    17.80
  
23. Tua Tagovailoa – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    386
    559
    3970
    29
    11
    55
    0
    296.98
    17.47
  
24. Bryce Young – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    356
    556
    3617
    22
    8
    296
    3
    293.17
    17.25
  
25. Daniel Jones – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    316
    502
    3110
    21
    11
    461
    3
    290.80
    17.11
  
26. Michael Penix Jr – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    365
    570
    4131
    23
    11
    131
    1
    288.82
    16.99
  

TIER SEVEN

  EMERGENCY QB
Geno Smith – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    371
    546
    3931
    22
    13
    296
    1
    286.81
    16.87
  
Sam Darnold – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    286
    433
    3115
    19
    8
    133
    1
    228.55
    16.32
  
Cam Ward – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    319
    515
    3296
    19
    10
    315
    2
    261.66
    15.39
  
Aaron Rodgers – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    341
    525
    3360
    23
    10
    60
    1
    246.89
    14.52
  
Joe Flacco – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    132
    206
    1542
    9
    4
    16
    1
    100.45
    14.35
  
Russell Wilson – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    149
    229
    1467
    11
    5
    59
    1
    113.41
    14.18
  
Shedeur Sanders – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    191
    294
    2026
    10
    5
    82
    0
    140.36
    14.04
  
Spencer Rattler – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    176
    289
    1675
    6
    6
    181
    1
    99.07
    11.01
  
Tyler Shough – 2025 Projection

  
    Cmp
    Att
    Yds
    TD
    Int
    Rush Yds
    Rush TDs
    Total FP
    Fantasy PPG
  

    149
    257
    1566
    6
    9
    149
    1
    79.92
    9.99
  

Kelli Hammersmith https://KHammersmith.com