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Kelli Hammersmith 5/3/25 Kelli Hammersmith 5/3/25

2025 NFL Draft Fantasy Recap | third-Round Fallout

Round 3 is where the spotlight fades and the scouting departments start to flex. The names get a little more obscure, the roles a little less defined — but make no mistake, these are still highly valuable NFL assets with real paths to fantasy relevance.

Draft capital still matters here, and every pick offers clues about how a team views its future. Whether it’s a stash-worthy QB or a buried WR with upside — this is where dynasty managers find their edge. Let’s break down each pick and figure out who’s just smoke and who might be your next big value steal.

Harold Fannin Jr – 3.67 | Cleveland Browns
There were a lot of eyes glued to Harold Fannin Jr’s landing spot, and this one… isn’t it. Cleveland adds the versatile TE/WR hybrid, but it’s hard to get excited about the short-term outlook. He’s buried behind David Njoku on the depth chart and stuck in a low volume passing offense. The Browns are a run-heavy team, and Fannin’s path to meaningful snaps is crowded.

Still, the draft capital isn’t bad, and the production profile is legit. If Cleveland develops him — and that’s a big if — Fannin could turn into a unique offensive weapon. But this isn’t a player you plug in early. He’s a long-term bet on athleticism and offensive evolution.

Draft Range

Superflex: Mid 3rd – Late 3rd
Standard: 4th
TE Prem: 3rd

Verdict:

Project stash with upside. Fannin has the tools but needs patience and opportunity to hit. A classic “see you in 2027” dynasty dart throw.

Kyle Williams – 3.69 | New England Patriots

A late hype darling, Kyle Williams’ name started bubbling up in dynasty circles as the draft approached — and now we’ve got confirmation it wasn’t just smoke. The Patriots snag him as the 8th WR off the board, signaling a shift toward investing in real offensive weapons. While the New England WR room is far from intimidating, that’s precisely what gives Williams a runway to emerge.
He brings some juice to a stale offense, and there’s a path to targets if he can outshine the likes of Polk, Baker, and whoever else is still lingering in that depth chart. This is the kind of pick that could go from underwhelming to “how did we miss that?” if he flashes in camp. Don’t overpay, but don’t ignore him either.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Mid 3rd
**Standard:** Early 3rd
**Verdict:**
Late-round gem watchlist. Williams is raw but intriguing, and in New England’s rebuilding offense, he could crack relevance early if he seizes the moment.

Isaac TeSlaa – 3.70 | Detroit Lions
I didn’t have this one on my bingo card. TeSlaa going this early raised some eyebrows, but the Lions have never been shy about pounding the table for “their guy” — and TeSlaa fit their mold. Athletic, physical, and a grinder-type mentality that Dan Campbell will love. But from a fantasy lens? It’s murky.

Detroit’s offense is loaded with established weapons, and even with Ben Johnson gone, there are still target pecking orders to sort out. This feels like a “football guy” pick more than a “fantasy guy” pick. Maybe it works long-term, but don’t count on rookie-year relevance unless the depth chart thins out.

Draft Range

Superflex: 4th
Standard: 4th

Verdict:

Culture fit > fantasy fit. Intriguing stash in deep leagues, but he’s buried for now. Taxi this name with long-term upside if the Lions see something we don’t.

Pat Bryant – 3.74 | Denver Broncos
Another curveball from Sean Payton, however, this one feels intentional. Bryant wasn’t high on many fantasy boards, but Payton saw something the community didn’t. He’s a bigger-bodied receiver who wins with savvy route-running and field awareness rather than burst or twitch. It’s not flashy, but it is functional.

Bryant steadily improved each year in college, and that developmental arc could continue under a coach who prides himself on refining raw talent. He won’t blow past anyone, but he might carve out a role faster than people expect, especially in a Denver WR room that still feels unsettled. Don’t be shocked if he ends up sticking.

Draft Range

Superflex: 4th
Standard: 4th

Verdict:
Unsexy but useful. Payton hand-picked him for a reason, and Bryant’s football IQ might earn him meaningful snaps before the fantasy world catches on.

Jaylin Noel – 3.79 | Houston Texans

Sneaky-good situation here, but a room that got crowded quickly. The Texans double-dipped at WR, grabbing Noel’s college teammate at 34 overall and swinging back for him later in the third. That’s a clear signal: they’re building a versatile, explosive receiver room around Stroud — and they want chemistry built in.
Noel’s ceiling is capped without an injury ahead of him, but his skill set offers something unique: juice. He can rip off chunk plays and make the most of limited snaps. Don’t be surprised if he has a random WR2 week early in the season, causing everyone to run to the wire or regret passing on him in Round 4.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 4th
**Standard:** 4th
**Verdict:**
Explosive depth piece with chemistry built in. The path to volume isn’t clean, but the spike week potential and ascending offense give Noel some juicy upside in deeper formats.

Kaleb Johnson – 3.83 | Pittsburgh Steelers
This is the kind of landing spot that launches a Round 3 pick into the late first round of rookie drafts. Kaleb Johnson didn’t just need draft capital — he needed a team ready to commit. Enter the Steelers. With Arthur Smith at OC and Mike Tomlin doing his thing (feeding one dude 20+ touches a game), Johnson is walking into a real opportunity.

Jaylen Warren is still around, but he’s a change-of-pace guy. Johnson? He’s built for volume. Power and no-nonsense decision-making that fits the Steelers’ identity like a glove. If they trust him early, we could be looking at one of the biggest risers in this entire class.

Draft Range

Superflex: 1.09 - 2.01
Standard: 1.08 - 1.12

Verdict:
Prime volume trapdoor. If he wins the job, he smashes. Kaleb just became the dark horse RB1 candidate nobody saw coming — until now.

Savion Williams – 3.87 | Green Bay Packers
This one raised eyebrows. Savion was mostly seen as a gadget-type prospect, not someone expected to go this high. But the Packers saw enough to spend Day 2 capital, and now he’s officially on the fantasy radar. The only problem? That radar is cluttered.

Green Bay already has a packed receiver room with young talent across the board, and there’s no clear path for Williams to earn consistent volume. He’ll get schemed touches, maybe even a highlight or two, but banking on anything beyond that feels like a reach.

Draft Range

Superflex: 4th - Undrafted
Standard: 4th - Undrafted

Verdict:
Fun player, tricky situation. Williams might pop for a big play now and then, but without a defined role, he’s more DFS dart than dynasty staple.

Jalen Milroe – 3.92 | Seattle Seahawks

Now *this* is a wildcard. Milroe landing in Seattle behind Sam Darnold might not spark immediate buzz but make no mistake — the upside is outrageous. This is the kind of talent you *build* an offense around. We’re talking rare tools, game-breaking mobility, and a cannon for an arm. If it works? We’re talking Lamar-level fantasy cheat code. If not? Trey Lance, chapter two.
Seattle feels like a soft landing spot — low pressure, good infrastructure, and a coaching staff that could get creative. The odds are long, but the reward is massive. In Superflex leagues, this is the kind of lotto ticket that wins you titles if it cashes.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Late 2nd - Early 3rd
**Standard:** 4th - Undrafted
**Verdict:**
Boom-or-bust QB weapon. Milroe could flame out... or break fantasy. In Superflex? You *have* to take the shot.

Dillon Gabriel – 3.94 | Cleveland Browns
Just when you thought it was finally Shedeur time… boom, Dillon Gabriel sneaks in and steals the card. This one screams “culture fit” over ceiling — the kind of pick that makes NFL coaches nod solemnly while fantasy managers slam their keyboards.

Gabriel’s game is steady, not electric. He’s smart, efficient, and experienced — a clipboard QB who might float around the league for a decade without becoming relevant in your starting lineup. In Superflex leagues, he’s a warm body. In Standard leagues, he’s a warm waiver.

Draft Range
Superflex: 4th
Standard: Undrafted

Verdict:
Backup with job security vibes. Gabriel’s path to fantasy production is paved with injuries, coaching politics, and probably some prayers. Hard pass unless you’re in a 14-team Superflex.

Round 4-7 Coming Soon…..

Kelli Hammersmith 5/3/25 Kelli Hammersmith 5/3/25

2025 NFL Draft Fantasy Recap | Second-Round Fallout

Welcome to Round 2—where NFL teams get just enough confidence to be dangerous and dynasty managers pretend they’ve watched film on every tight end taken. This is the round where “reach” becomes “value” with just a splash of Twitter momentum, and coaches convince themselves that this random wideout will fix their broken offense.

You thought Round 1 was wild? That was just foreplay. Day 2 is where hype trains derail, sleeper picks go mainstream, and a guy named Jack Bech becomes your new favorite stash—just admit it. Let’s break down the second-round madness, one beautiful mess at a time.

Jayden Higgins | 2.34 | Houston Texans

Absolutely love this! Higgins gets premium Day 2 capital from a team practically begging for a dependable WR2 across from Nico Collins. CJ Stroud was out there playing hero ball with a receiver room patched together by bubble gum and wishful thinking after the injury apocalypse. Higgins walks into immediate volume and brings a rock-solid floor.
The buzzkill? Houston couldn’t help themselves and snagged his college running mate in the next round. Great for CJ’s arsenal, but it’s a ceiling capper for both wideouts. Still, Stroud managers—congrats. The Texans just loaded the chamber.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 2.02 – 2.08
**Standard:** 1.12 – 2.06
**Verdict:**
Lock it in—Higgins is that “boring value” pick we swear we love... until we chase the 4.3-speed gadget with no route skills. Safe floor and just enough production to make you feel smart when he drops 12 in your FLEX. Just don’t whine when he’s not Nico—or when his former Iowa State teammate steals the spotlight.

Quinshon Judkins | 2.36 | Cleveland Browns

Judkins gets the top-40 capital we were hoping for, and he lands in Cleveland—a team propping up a QB room that’s a house of straw in a windstorm. Flacco and Pickett aren’t leading any aerial assaults, so you can bet they’ll lean on a workhorse like Quinshon early and often.
The offense looks better *on paper* with Jeudy, Njoku, and Tillman, but make no mistake—this is shaping up to be a "feed the RB and pray" game plan. Judkins falling into 250+ touches feels more like a baseline than a ceiling. RB1 potential is sitting there, gift-wrapped.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.05 – 1.11
**Standard:** 1.03 – 1.07
**Verdict:**
You draft volume. Period. Judkins isn’t some fantasy cheat code, but when a team hands you a sledgehammer and says, “We’re running through walls,” you don’t overthink it. Plug him in and enjoy those gritty RB1 numbers while the Browns try to survive hurricane season at quarterback.

TreVeyon Henderson | 2.38 | New England Patriots

The *other* Ohio State RB comes off the board just three picks after Judkins, landing in Foxborough—where fantasy value usually goes to die. But wait... this actually isn’t bad.
This probably sends Antonio Gibson packing, and Rhamondre’s workhorse role straight to hospice care. His floor? Gone. His ceiling? Buried under a pile of coaching changes. But enough about the casualties—Henderson's stock just lit up.
Henderson walks into an offense that quietly got a lot more interesting. Don’t underestimate what adding Will Campbell and Jered Wilson does to this O-line. Plus, with Vrabel bringing his "punch-you-in-the-mouth" mentality, this team might finally lean into being good at something, like, say, running the football.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.05 – 1.08
**Standard:** 1.03 – 1.06
**Verdict:**
It’s risky, but sometimes you bet on talent—even in New England. Henderson could be the lightning to Rhamondre’s... well, whatever’s left. If Vrabel commits to the ground game, Henderson’s explosive playstyle could turn into weekly gold. Just know—you’re signing up for some Belichickian PTSD along the way.

Luther Burden III | 2.39 | Chicago Bears

One of the most polarizing players in the class gets strong Day 2 capital and a perfectly spicy landing spot. Early opportunities might be limited (Loveland vibes all over again), but make no mistake—the Bears are stacking weapons faster than Caleb Williams can count his endorsements.
Burden’s elite athleticism and raw explosiveness make him a prime candidate for big-time efficiency under Ben Johnson. Expect fewer targets but bigger highlights. He won’t need 100 catches to be fantasy-relevant if he’s ripping off home runs for a suddenly loaded offense.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Early 2nd - Late 2nd
**Standard:** Early 2nd - Late 2nd
**Verdict:**
High-variance swing worth taking. You might have to live with some “where the hell was Burden?” weeks early on—but when he hits, it’s going to be loud. Caleb’s new Ferrari could be taking laps around Soldier Field by midseason.

Tyler Shough | 2.40 | New Orleans Saints

The Saints get their QB—just not the one anyone had in their mock. Shough isn’t flashy, but he checks a ton of boxes: prototype size, legit arm strength, and underrated mobility. Don’t let the big frame fool you—he can roll out and throw on the move better than most in this class.
There are clear flashes of first-round talent here. The problem? They’re buried under layers of inconsistency and a medical chart that looks like a CVS receipt. But if he stays upright and clicks, the Saints might’ve quietly landed a long-term starter.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Mid 2nd - Early 3rd
**Standard:** Undrafted
**Verdict:**
Deep cut with sneaky upside. You won’t feel great hitting “draft” on Shough in Superflex, but the tools are very real. You might lose everything… or end up with the last QB standing from this class.

Mason Taylor | 2.42 | New York Jets

The offspring of Dolphins defensive royalty finds himself on the other side of the AFC East—joining a Jets squad starving for anyone who can catch a pass outside of Wilson and Hall. Mason Taylor isn’t flashy, but he’s steady—think Tucker Kraft with a slightly better PR team.
Taylor’s an intelligent, athletic tight end who’ll flash on tape and make the occasional highlight grab... just don’t expect him to be a top two option in any offense. That said, guys like this stick around, make rosters better, and sometimes sneak into your lineup when your actual TE gets concussed in warmups.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Mid 2nd - Early 3rd
**Standard:** Early 3rd - Late 3rd
**TE Prem:** Mid 2nd - Late 2nd
**Verdict:**
Safe, unspectacular, and useful. He won’t win you a league, but he’ll pop for 3-45-1 just often enough to justify the stash. Draft for depth—pray for usage.

Terrance Ferguson | 2.46 | Los Angeles Rams

I love when chess pieces like this land with an offensive mind like McVay. Ferguson gets strong Day 2 capital from a team that quietly needed a youth injection at tight end, and this landing spot checks a ton of boxes.
With Adams, Puka, and Kyren drawing defensive attention, Ferguson could feast on mismatches underneath and up the seam. He’s got the movement skills and hands you want at the position, but let’s be honest, these profiles burn us more often than not. Still, when they hit... it’s *Dynasty Gold*.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Mid 2nd - Early 3rd
**Standard:** Early 3rd - Late 3rd
**TE Prem:** Mid 2nd - Late 2nd
**Verdict:**
Athletic TE in a sharp offense with low early expectations? We’ve seen this movie, and sometimes it ends with a breakout. Ferguson’s a worthy gamble in TE-premium or deeper builds, just keep your expectations below “next Kittle” and above “next Irv Smith.”

Elijah Arroyo | 2.50 | Seattle Seahawks

Elijah Arroyo was one of the better-kept secrets in this class—quiet college profile, loud flashes when healthy. At Miami, he showed smooth movement, toughness after the catch, and a natural feel with the ball in his hands. The tools are very real.
Seattle spending pick 50 says they plan to use him. With a new offensive regime focused on efficiency and unlocking their weapons, Arroyo could be brought along with purpose. If he flashes early, the dynasty hype train will be out of the station before you finish your waiver claims.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Late 2nd - Late 3rd
**Standard:** Early 3rd - Late 3rd
**TE Prem:** Mid 2nd - Mid 3rd
**Verdict:**
Legit upside swing late in your rookie drafts. Don’t expect Year 1 magic, but keep an eye on the camp buzz. He’s got the kind of profile that could go from “who?” to “why didn’t I draft him?” real quick.

Tre Harris | 2.55 | Los Angeles Chargers

Any time a franchise QB gets a new weapon with Day 2 capital, the dynasty world takes notice—and Tre Harris is no exception. He’s the perfect complement to Ladd McConkey: a true X receiver who can pull coverage wide, open up the middle, and absorb the dirty work so Ladd doesn’t get folded in half on every slant.
Harris has the tools to shine in this new-look offense—strong hands, physical presence, and enough juice to be a vertical threat. He fits what Herbert’s arm wants to do and what Harbaugh’s offense is building toward: smart, efficient football with legit firepower.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Late 1st - Mid 2nd
**Standard:** Late 1st - Mid 2nd
**Verdict:**
Plug-and-play potential with long-term upside. Harris could be a steady producer out of the gate and might end up being the sneaky WR2 from this class. Don’t sleep—this is the kind of Day 2 WR pick that ages *very* well in dynasty.

Jack Bech | 2.58 | Las Vegas Raiders

A perfect match for the new Pete Carroll-era Raiders—gritty, physical, and unflashy in all the right ways. With a solid vet QB, Ashton Jeanty powering the engine, and a workmanlike identity forming, Bech slots right in.
He’s the ideal Robin to Brock Bowers’ Batman—willing to do the dirty work, run the unglamorous routes, and make the chain-moving plays. That’s exactly the kind of role that can quietly pile up targets in a system built around toughness and rhythm.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** Late 2nd - Mid 3rd
**Standard:** Early 3rd - Late 3rd
**Verdict:**
He’s not flashy, but he’s functional—and that’s a good thing. Bech could carve out a sneaky PPR floor while defenses are too busy worrying about Bowers and Jeanty. Draft for depth now and let the production sneak up on people.

RJ Harvey | 2.60 | Denver Broncos

The final fantasy-relevant pick of the second round is a ranking shaker. RJ Harvey landing in Denver is going to light up dynasty draft boards like it’s the Fourth of July.
Sean Payton *wanted* a running back in this class—and he passed on Hampton, Henderson, and Judkins to take Harvey as the RB5. That’s not a fluke. That’s a flag planted in mile-high ground. And in a wide-open backfield, that kind of draft capital screams opportunity.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1,09 - Early 2nd
**Standard:** 1.08 - Early 2nd
**Verdict:**
System + capital + coach conviction = 1st round helium. Harvey’s got the juice to climb draft boards fast. Get ready to click “draft” right before your league mate sees Sleeper rankings adjust.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/25/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/25/25

2025 NFL Draft Fantasy Recap | First-Round Fallout

The NFL Draft delivered exactly what we crave—chaos, surprises, and landing spots that either made fantasy dreams come true or sent managers into full meltdown mode. Whether you’re sitting pretty with the 1.01 or already scheming how to trade around, this first round reshaped rookie draft boards in a big way.

Here’s how Round 1 shook up your dynasty league……

Cameron Ward | 1.01 | Tennessee Titans`

No surprises here—we’ve been expecting this for a month. It’s official now: *shock? Not really.* Ward at 1.01 locks him in as a Top 4 Superflex rookie pick. He’s got the work ethic, swagger, and the talent to not just survive, but make noise in today’s NFL. His floor is a steady dynasty asset holding value for years. But if he hits? You’re looking at a QB who can flip your franchise script overnight.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.01 – 1.04
**Standard:** Early-Mid 2nd
**Verdict:**
*Safe fantasy investment with legit QB1 upside*

Travis Hunter | 1.02 | Jacksonville Jaguars`

WOW! Jacksonville wasn’t bluffing about being aggressive. They didn’t just trade up for a wide receiver — they bought two positions in one player. Hunter is a unicorn, and the Jags spent premium capital knowing they’re getting a potential star on both sides of the ball. For fantasy, it’s all about those offensive snaps — and with that investment and Coen’s blessing, expect him to be heavily involved from Day 1. Pairing Hunter with BTJ could finally be the key to unlocking Trevor Lawrence. If Hunter sees at least 60% offensive snaps, you're looking at a long-term WR2 with explosive upside.
But let’s be real — there’s more risk here than you'd normally stomach for a rookie WR at this draft cost. You’re betting on a role the NFL hasn’t truly seen before. That said, if you're playing in an IDP league? You might’ve just landed yourself a straight-up fantasy cheat code.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.02 – 1.08
**IDP:** 1.01 – 1.05
**Standard:** 1.02 – 1.06
**Verdict:**
*More risk than you'd like at this price for a WR — but the upside is too tempting to pass. A potential cheat code in IDP formats.*

Ashton Jeanty | 1.06 | Las Vegas Raiders

Another chalk pick we all wished into existence—and that’s a *good* thing. Jeanty lands at 6th overall, which is practically mythical draft capital for a running back in today’s NFL. The Raiders didn’t just draft him—they declared him their offensive engine. A coaching staff ready to feature him and a competent QB situation only crank up the fantasy hype meter.
Jeanty has felt like a can’t-miss prospect throughout the process, and this landing spot + capital officially locks him in as the 1.01 in Standard leagues. In dynasty terms, you're now talking about a back who falls just behind Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs in the dynasty RB landscape. True workhorse profile with three-down ability—this is the rare RB you build your team around.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.01 – 1.02
**Standard:** 1.01 – Don’t Overthink
**Verdict:**
*Top-tier RB prospects are nearly extinct—but Jeanty just joined the discussion. Locked-in 1.01 in Standard. Immediate fantasy cornerstone.*

Tetairoa McMillan | 1.08 | Carolina Panthers

There was a lot of talk about where Tetairoa might fall, and this feels like the peak of his draft capital. Going 8th overall is a strong vote of confidence, and he walks straight into a role as Bryce Young’s go-to guy. Expect 100+ targets right out of the gate, giving him a clear path to top-30 WR production if he stays healthy—that's his floor.
But if Carolina leans into him even more and he creeps into that 120-130 target range, you’re looking at a rookie who could flirt with high-end WR2 numbers. That’s a smash outcome for Year 1, and exactly the kind of player who gains long-term dynasty value quickly. Plus, this isn’t just about McMillan—this is a massive commitment to Bryce Young’s development, which could boost the entire offense.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.06 – 1.10
**Standard:** 1.04 – 1.08
**Verdict:**
*Walking into alpha volume from Day 1. Safe floor as a top-30 WR, but if the targets spike, you’re getting a long-term WR2 at a discount.*

Colston Loveland | 1.10 | Chicago Bears

Colston Loveland landing in Chicago screams one thing—Ben Johnson has a plan. Sure, there are valid concerns about target share with DJ Moore and Rome Odunze commanding top billing, but if there’s an offensive coordinator you trust to unlock a tight end’s potential, it’s Johnson. His system has been a fantasy goldmine, and Loveland has the athletic profile to become his next big weapon.
The volume might not be immediate, but this is a bet on talent + scheme. If Loveland carves out his role early, he’s got the ceiling to climb into that elusive tier of fantasy TE giants. It might take patience, but when it hits, it could hit big.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.10 – 2.04
**Standard:** 1.08 – 2.02
**TE Premium:** 1.06 – 1.11
**Verdict:**
*Landing spot risk due to crowded mouths, but Ben Johnson’s offense keeps the upside sky-high. Potential to grow into a perennial top-5 TE — just don’t expect fireworks Week 1.*

Tyler Warren | 1.14 | Indianapolis Colts

This was the popular mock draft match, and Indy made it reality. Warren joins a loaded offense featuring Anthony Richardson, Jonathan Taylor, Pittman, and Josh Downs — giving Shane Steichen a treasure trove of unique weapons to scheme with. Warren isn’t just your typical tight end; expect manufactured touches, creative alignments, and a real shot at being the 1A/1B in targets.
What else spices things up? Don’t be surprised if Steichen dials up some Taysom Hill-style packages to keep Richardson healthy and defenses guessing. Warren’s versatility gives him unique fantasy appeal—especially in leagues that reward TE usage quirks.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.08 – 2.02
**Standard:** 1.6 – 1.12
**TE Premium:** 1.05 – 1.09
**Verdict:**
*A versatile chess piece in a creative offense. Warren’s path to elite volume is legit, with bonus upside if those gadget plays come to life.*

Emeka Egbuka | 1.19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This one came out of left field to me, but it speaks volumes about how Tampa views their long-term WR room. Maybe Evans and Godwin are closer to the cliff—or the injury report—than we thought. On the surface, this landing spot feels like it lowers Egbuka’s early-career floor, especially for a guy who's as pro-ready as they come.
That said, don’t overreact to the initial logjam. This is still a high-paced offense, Godwin hasn’t been fully healthy in years, and Evans isn’t beating Father Time forever. Egbuka could slide into relevance faster than expected, especially if attrition hits. His draft stock might dip on name value concerns, but smart managers will see the path to mid-season or Year 2 returns.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.10 – 2.02
**Standard:** 1.09 – 2.01
**Verdict:**
The landing spot looks crowded, but don’t be fooled — opportunity is lurking beneath the surface. A potential buy-low steal if others panic about depth charts. Be patient, and you could land a solid WR2 for years.

Omarion Hampton | 1.22 | Los Angeles Chargers

**SIX TO MIDNIGHT!** As Rich Dotson of Dynastynerds would say, this was a full-on “jump off the couch” moment. I’ve been all-in on Hampton from the start, and now he lands in that rare sweet spot where player talent perfectly aligns with team identity. The Chargers didn’t just draft a running back — they found their new offensive centerpiece.
This landing spot will ignite Hampton Fever across your league, locking his rookie draft ceiling at 1.02/1.03 in all formats. The projected volume alone keeps him in the RB1 conversation, but his talent? That’s what gives him legit top-3 positional upside. This is the kind of dynasty pick that transforms rosters and headlines championship runs.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.03 – 1.06
**Standard:** 1.02 – 1.03
**Verdict:**
*Dream landing spot. Locked-in volume with elite talent = instant RB1. Don’t overthink it — Hampton is a league-winner in the making with top-3 upside if everything clicks.*

Matthew Golden | 1.23 | Green Bay Packers

This pick screams potential. Green Bay was hunting for a wideout, and while I expected Egbuka to be the stabilizing force, they swung for the fences with Golden — a true playmaker for a team desperate for consistent offensive sparks. We’ve seen Golden flash explosive upside on the biggest stages, but the question has always been consistency.
The Packers are loaded with young talent, but they’re still missing that alpha who can truly elevate the offense. If Golden puts it all together, he could be the one to unlock a new level in this attack. But make no mistake — this is a boom-or-bust profile. He’ll be volatile early, but the ceiling is worth chasing at the right draft price.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.12 – 2.06
**Standard:** 1.10 – 2.05
**Verdict:**
High-variance pick with legit WR2 upside if it clicks. Expect growing pains, but if you’re swinging for the fences, Golden’s the kind of gamble that could pay off big in a young, ascending offense.

Jaxson Dart | 1.25 | New York Giants

The Giants made their move, trading up to grab Dart as the second QB off the board. This is exactly the kind of spot you want for a raw-but-talented prospect — no pressure to start Day 1, sitting behind seasoned vets, and getting time to learn the playbook and adjust to NFL speed. Oh, and when he’s ready? He’ll be throwing to Malik Nabers.
This is a classic patience play in Superflex formats. Dart’s tools are undeniable — if he puts it all together, you’re looking at a QB who could explode once handed the keys. Don’t expect early returns, but smart dynasty managers know these are the lottery tickets that pay off big when you wait.

**Draft Range**
**Superflex:** 1.10 – 2.06
**Standard:** 3rd Round+
**Verdict:**
Prototype stash-and-wait QB for Superflex leagues. The runway is clear — learn, develop, and then unleash that talent. If you can afford to wait, Dart could be a league-shifting asset by Year 2 or 3.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/24/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/24/25

The Runningback Danger Zone

The NFL Draft is a time of hope—unless you’re a rookie running back about to land in a fantasy deathtrap.

Every year, dynasty managers fall for the same trap: elite prospect, shiny draft capital, and then… disaster. The logo on the helmet matters. The depth chart matters. And sometimes, a “dream” landing spot becomes a fantasy nightmare before rookie minicamp even starts.

Herein lies the DEFCON Meter—a tiered warning system to identify the worst possible landing spots for rookie RBs in the 2025 NFL Draft. From total wastelands to mildly infuriating committee situations, we’re breaking down which teams will bury your rookie’s value before he even gets his first carry.

Draft season is all about hope. This meter is all about preparing for pain.

Let’s sound the alarms.

DEFCON 3 – Annoying, Not Apocalyptic

“It won’t kill a rookie’s value outright… just slowly bleed it out over time.”

Los Angeles Rams

McVay might draft a back… and then forget he exists for months.

Kyren Williams owns this backfield, and he earned every snap through grit and production.
Davante Adams joins Puka Nacua giving the Rams one of the nastiest WR duos in the league.
McVay has a long history of ignoring RB depth until the starter gets hurt, and even then, it’s a toss-up.

Arizona Cardinals

You see opportunity. The Cardinals see the same two guys they already like.

James Conner is the ageless wonder, still productive and still soaking up all the touches.
Trey Benson flashed in ‘24, and the coaching staff is clearly into him, this isn’t a wide-open depth chart.
Any rookie here is walking into a two-man rotation with no real opening except on special teams.

DEFCON 3 – Committee-ville

“There’s technically a path to relevance here… but it’s full of potholes, detours, and sadness.”

Tennessee Titans

It’s a committee in search of a purpose — and your rookie isn’t the answer.

Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears are locked in, and both can play, which is unfortunate for everyone else.
The O-line is still rebuilding, so there’s no easy runway to shine even if someone gets hurt.
Unless Cam (you know it’s happening) blows the doors off in camp, he’s just a dude with a clipboard.

New England Patriots

Bill may be gone, but the chaos remains.

Rhamondre is still Rhamondre, paid and not going anywhere.
Antonio Gibson clogs the passing lane and he’s got enough juice to annoy everyone involved.
This offense has zero identity, which means inconsistent usage and weekly heartbreak.

DEFCON 2 – Caution Zone

It’s not the end of the world… unless you actually wanted your rookie RB to play.

Baltimore Ravens

Welcome to Running Back Purgatory, where talent goes to wait.

Derrick Henry is here to eat, and they’ll feed him until his legs stop working.
Lamar Jackson is still the most electric ball carrier on the roster and he’s keeping the red zone work.
John Harbaugh doesn’t trust rookies easily so you'd better bring a lunch pail and a prayer.

Seattle Seahawks

They want to ride one back, and spoiler: it’s not your rookie.

Kenneth Walker is the guy: explosive and established, and the new OC’s crush.
Zach Charbonnet still lurks and ready to vulture touches on third downs and in short yardage.
Sam Darnold doesn’t scream “top 10 offense” which means fewer red zone chances to go around.

DEFCON 2 – Severe Risk

A fantasy value sinkhole for rookie backs.

Atlanta Falcons

Drafting a rookie RB here? You're just praying for an injury and calling it strategy.

Bijan Robinson is the offense: a generational talent with a full workload already in hand.
Tyler Allgeier still mixes in, especially in short-yardage and when they want to play bully ball.
The only touches available are crumbs and even those are guarded.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Volume? Opportunity? Nah. Just vibes and a crowded depth chart.

Rachaad White is already a high-volume do-it-all back and he’s proven he can carry the load.
Bucky Irving aced the eye test and is on a fast track to claiming the 1A role.
Baker’s throwing 40+ times to Evans, Godwin, and McMillan, not dumping it off to a rookie.

DEFCON 1 – Doomsday

The absolute worst-case scenario. If a rookie RB lands here, it’s time to mourn the pick.

Philadelphia Eagles

Where RBs go to block, not ball.

Jalen Hurts is a goal-line vulture until the tush push isn’t still a thing
Saquon Barkley is still that dude and the heartbeat of the team.
Brown and Smith dominate the target tree so there's nothing left to eat.

Detroit Lions

Run-heavy offense, but it’s already a two-man show.

Jahmyr Gibbs is on the verge of superstardom — electric in space and growing.
David Montgomery sets the tone — he’s the heartbeat of the offense.
Only role left is on special teams — and even that might be crowded.

Final Thought:

The NFL Draft giveth… and the landing spot taketh away.

You can scout the tape and lock in your rookie rankings. But the second that name gets called by the wrong team? Boom — value gone.

These DEFCON backfields aren’t just “bad fits” — they’re dynasty purgatory. Buried behind vets, trapped in committee hell, or stuck in pass-first offenses that treat running backs like a rounding error.

So when the draft hits, don’t just evaluate the talent — scout the minefield. Because hype fades fast when your rookie RB is returning kicks in Week 1.

Love the player, fear the jersey.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/22/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/22/25

How GMs and fantasy managers become geniuses — the late qb swing

This isn’t the franchise QB aisle. This is the scratch-and-dent section. But if you dig around long enough, you just might find something that still works … or an all-time legend.

Ewers, Shough, and Milroe aren’t being drafted to save anyone’s job on Day 1. They’re the “what if” picks. The “we believe in our development staff” picks. The ones you squint at on draft day and talk yourself into with words like “traits,” “tools,” and “upside.” You’re not looking for perfection — you’re looking for potential that hasn’t been coached out yet.

The truth? Most of these guys will bounce around practice squads before eventually co-hosting a college football podcast. But if one of them actually lands in the right place, with the right staff, and just enough time to figure it out that’s the kind of lottery ticket that turns GMs and dynasty managers into geniuses.

Quinn Ewers – The Bounce Back

Best fits: Los Angeles Rams, Pittsburgh Steelers, Las Vegas Raiders

Quinn’s career arc feels like it’s still loading. He’s got the arm, the pedigree, and finally showed real growth last season — but it might’ve been too little, too late. Truthfully, he might’ve returned to Texas if Arch Manning wasn’t already breathing down his neck. Now he enters the NFL as a Day 2 wild card who needs a redshirt year and a strong support system.

Digging Deeper - ‘Best Fits’ for Ewers

**Los Angeles Rams**
This is the ideal long-term setup. He gets to sit behind Stafford, learn from McVay, and inherit an offense that’s built to make QBs look good. If the flashes continue to build, he could be the next “how’d we let him fall that far?” guy.
**Pittsburgh Steelers**
There’s a clear structure here — something Quinn’s never really had. He wouldn’t have to start immediately, and Mike Tomlin’s no-BS culture might be exactly what Ewers needs to smooth out the chaos and sharpen the focus.
**Las Vegas Raiders**
This is the high-variance swing. Vegas could take him in the second or trade back into the first if they fall in love. He'd be walking into a talented offense with real expectations — but it could also get weird fast. The upside is there, but so is the flameout risk.

Tyler Shough – The Sleeper with a Scar

Best fits: Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks

If NFL teams drafted traits and vibes instead of résumés, Shough would’ve gone Round 1 years ago. He’s big, athletic, and throws a gorgeous ball when he’s upright. But injuries have turned his career into a highlight reel interrupted by ice packs. That said, someone’s going to take a late swing — and they might quietly hit.

Digging Deeper - ‘Best Fits’ for Shouogh

**Cleveland Browns**
No true starter is locked in long-term, and Stefanski’s timing-based offense is a great place for a raw-but-smart QB to learn the ropes. If Shough stays upright, he could be this year’s “wait, is this guy… kinda good?” storyline.
**Detroit Lions**
Probably the best-case outcome: no pressure, strong coaching, and a QB room that could use a developmental wildcard. If Jared Goff ever moves on, Shough could be waiting in the shadows, armed and ready.
**Seattle Seahawks**
They brought in Sam Darnold, which buys time — but if Sam becomes, well… Sam, Shough could see the field earlier than expected. He has the kind of tools that make GMs whisper “starter traits” while ignoring their medical staff shaking their heads.

Jalen Milroe – The Wild Engine

Best fits: Baltimore Ravens, New York Jets, Dallas Cowboys

Milroe is the ultimate rollercoaster QB — dynamic, explosive, and occasionally terrifying (for everyone involved). He can turn broken plays into highlights, and if he ever learns to process like a pro, he could be an absolute problem. He’s not polished. He’s not ready. But he’s a Day 3 pick with Day 1 tools — and that’s how legends start.

Digging Deeper - ‘Best Fits’ for Milroe

**Cleveland Browns**
No true starter is locked in long-term, and Stefanski’s timing-based offense is a great place for a raw-but-smart QB to learn the ropes. If Shough stays upright, he could be this year’s “wait, is this guy… kinda good?” storyline.
**Detroit Lions**
Probably the best-case outcome: no pressure, strong coaching, and a QB room that could use a developmental wildcard. If Jared Goff ever moves on, Shough could be waiting in the shadows, armed and ready.
**Seattle Seahawks**
They brought in Sam Darnold, which buys time — but if Sam becomes, well… Sam, Shough could see the field earlier than expected. He has the kind of tools that make GMs whisper “starter traits” while ignoring their medical staff shaking their heads.

Final Thought

Let’s be real: quarterback success isn’t just about arm talent or college stats — it’s a twisted cocktail of timing, system fit, coaching competency, locker-room vibes, and blind luck. Half of these guys have the physical tools to play in the league. The real question is whether they land somewhere that doesn’t immediately try to “fix” them into oblivion.

And yeah, most of them won’t work out. That’s how this goes. For every breakout star, there are five cautionary tales and one dude selling crypto. But if even one of these Day 2 or 3 swings hits? That’s how you steal value. That’s how GMs get contract extensions. That’s how dynasty managers get insufferable.

So go ahead — call your shot, talk yourself into the upside, and prepare for heartbreak. It’s draft season. This is what we do.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/22/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/22/25

2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Based on Chad Reuter’s NFL.com 2025 NFL MOCK DRAFT) Round 3

Using Chad Reuter’s latest 7-round mock draft on NFL.com as the foundation, here is 2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft Round 3.

3.01 | Jayden Higgins | WR | New England Patriots | 3.77
Day 2 capital in Round 3? That’s good business. The offense? Still pretty sketchy. But this isn’t just a bet on Higgins — it’s a belief in Drake Maye. We saw Maye keep things afloat in his rookie year despite chaos around him, and now he lands in New England with an open WR depth chart. Higgins brings that X-receiver build, and if he earns Maye’s trust, he could outproduce his draft slot fast. High-variance swing, but the logic is sound — bet on talent, bet on opportunity, and bet on the rookie QB elevating both.

3.02 | Dylan Sampson | RB | Cleveland Browns | 4.104
Once a popular name on fantasy boards, Sampson slides to Round 4 in the NFL Draft — but lands in a prime opportunity zone. The Nick Chubb era ends quietly, and while the backfield is unsettled, Sampson brings the juice this offense desperately needs. He’s got real burst, vision, and enough versatility to earn early-down work or carve out a pass-game role. If he hits, this could be one of the best value picks in the entire 3rd round. Don’t let the draft slide distract you — the upside here is loud.

3.03 | Jack Bech | WR | Houston Texans | 3.89
Another fantasy favorite, Bech is the type of player who just does the job, every snap. He lands in Houston, and the fit feels hand-in-glove. The Texans desperately need another reliable option behind Collins and Kirk, and Bech brings that underneath presence who can keep Stroud humming on schedule. There’s not a ton of upside here, but there’s real floor in a strong offense. The kind of pick that doesn’t get noticed during the draft... but helps you win matchups in season.

3.04 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | Cincinnati Bengals | 4.119
The Bengals rode Chase Brown like CMC-lite down the stretch — and now they bring in Tuten to keep the wheels from falling off. With the big money locked into Burrow, Chase, and Higgins, there won’t be room for premium RB paydays. Tuten gives them a cost-effective, stylistic match who can be a true 1B to Brown’s 1A. Both backs do similar things well, which means the Bengals can rotate without tipping plays, and Tuten could carve out a flex-worthy role, or more if Brown ever misses time.

3.05 | Jalen Royals | WR | Tennessee Titans | 4.103
The Titans just locked in their QB of the future — and now Royals enters the league with him, giving them a chance to build chemistry from day one. With only Ridley as a proven option and Burks more familiar with walking boots than routes, this WR room is wide open. Royals has a refined release package, sharp route running, and legit YAC ability — he could become the early favorite for Ward’s trust. Don’t sleep — there’s starter upside hiding in this Day 3 gem.

3.06 | RJ Harvey | RB | New Orleans Saints | 4.112
Kamara is the king of the “he’s cooked” headlines… and then he just goes out and posts RB1 numbers anyway. But even the Saints know the clock is ticking. Kendre Miller has flashed, but he’s either been hurt or benched, and nothing’s guaranteed. Harvey steps in as a no-nonsense runner — tough, efficient, and built to grind out carries. He may not be flashy, but he’s exactly the kind of back who can extend Kamara’s shelf life and carve out a role of his own. Smart teams plan ahead, so, weirdly out of character for the Saints.

3.07 | Jaylin Noel | WR | Chicago Bears | 2.41
With DJ Moore locked in and Odunze being treated like the second coming by Bears WR coach Antwaan Randle El, early volume probably isn’t in the cards for Noel. But what he does bring is a vertical gear that this offense doesn’t currently have. He’ll stretch the field while Moore and Odunze work underneath — and yeah, that likely means a bunch of “meh” box scores. But don’t be shocked when he randomly posts 3 catches, 120 yards, and 2 TDs, becomes a waiver wire darling for 72 hours, and sparks a hype train if the Bears’ offense takes off.

3.08 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | Los Angeles Rams | 2.64
Ferguson’s got that athletic profile we drool over at tight end — but let’s be honest, most of his college production was manufactured, and that kind of opportunity doesn’t come easy at the next level. Still, the Rams just McVay’d us again. First Burden, now Ferguson — another guy who makes us dream big the moment Sean gets his hands on him. Higbee’s still around, but age and injuries are catching up, and this Day 2 capital screams “plans are already in motion.” Ferguson’s path to early snaps is real, and if things click, fantasy relevance might not be far behind.

3.09 | Elic Ayomanor | WR | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4.107
The Jags are reloading — new offensive mind, a fully unlocked Trevor Lawrence, and a clear top target in Brian Thomas Jr. Ayomanor slides in as the ideal WR2 candidate — not flashy, but incredibly functional. He does the little things well: clean routes, smart spacing, physical at the catch point. It’s an upside play if he builds chemistry with T-Law, but even if he doesn’t explode, this still feels like a safe floor bet in a growing offense. Perfect Round 3 dart with real WR3/flex potential.

3.10 | Jarquez Hunter | RB | Kansas City Chiefs | 4.133
Feels like I’m underrating this, right? We've seen the CEH disappointment and the Skyy Moore blues, but this one feels different. Jarquez has that nasty streak you love in a back — tough, physical, and efficient. And he runs exactly how Andy Reid wants his guys to run. Add in his versatility and pass-catching chops, and you've got a player who could become the main back in an offense that turns role players into fantasy gods. Don't be surprised when this Round 3 pick becomes a weekly starter by midseason.

3.11 | Jaylin Lane | WR | Arizona Cardinals | 2.47
This is one of those picks where you’re taking the shot because of the draft capital, not because you’re buying the profile. Lane was used on manufactured touches, operates best as a true slot, and comes with a pretty limited route tree. In an offense featuring Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, and James Conner, it’s tough to see Arizona scheming up consistent touches for Lane. He might pop a fun play here or there, but weekly fantasy relevance feels more like a prayer than a plan.

3.12 | Tai Felton | WR | Baltimore Ravens | 2.63
Let’s be honest — this is a draft capital play, plain and simple. Felton goes 2.63, and at some point, that matters more than rolling the dice on fifth-round longshots. He’s a solid route runner underneath and in the intermediate game and probably ends up being a better real-life WR than a fantasy asset. With Lamar spreading it around and the WR room already crowded, it’s hard to see a consistent path to value. You’re likely setting this on fire, but hey — you can’t teach Day 2 capital.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/22/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/22/25

2025 NFL draft: QB or not QB? Cameron ward

Quarterback success in the NFL isn’t just about talent — it’s about fit. The right system, the right coach, the right timing… it all has to mesh. You can have all the tools in the world, but if your OC is calling plays like it’s 2007 or your line’s made of cardboard, good luck.

Even the cleanest landing spots on paper can go sideways fast. A rookie QB can be a perfect match for a scheme — and still end up looking like a glitch in the simulation by October. That’s just how this goes.

This draft class has a handful of intriguing QB prospects — guys with real traits, real upside, and real fanbases already drawing jersey concepts on Photoshop. But here’s the harsh truth: most of them won’t make it. Not because they can’t play, but because the league chews up even solid prospects when the environment is wrong.

Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, & Jaxson Dart all have paths to being “the guy” in the right situation. But for that to happen, they need more than talent — they need context, patience, and a coaching staff that doesn’t flip the script after two bad games.

So let’s break it down. Not just where these quarterbacks could land… but what might actually happen when they do. The upside, the pitfalls, and the beautiful chaos that comes with rookie QBs and the NFL machine.

Cam Ward – The Lightning Rod

Lightning-fast release. Unshakable confidence. And a work ethic that screams “I’m not here to sit behind your placeholder.”. Cam Ward doesn’t just have “it” — he fires “it” out of his hand like he’s skipping stones at 90 mph.

Yeah, he’s raw in spots. He’ll need to clean some things up. But you don’t draft Cam to babysit your offense. There’s a natural twitch to his game — not rushed, just efficient. He sees it, trusts it, and lets it fly. And in a class full of "if everything clicks" passers, Cam already looks like he knows exactly what button he’s supposed to push.

He’s not perfect, but he’s built for the modern game. Quick decisions, off-platform ability, and enough confidence to take the shot when the play breaks down.

Let’s break down the three landing spots that could shape his future — and maybe your fantasy draft too.

Tennessee Titans – The Real Deal at 1.01

This might not be the flashiest landing spot — and let’s be real, a chunk of the fantasy community is already groaning. But look a little closer, and it’s got way more juice than it’s getting credit for.
Second-year OC Brian Callahan knows how to build around a quarterback’s strengths. The weapons? Quietly solid: Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears, Calvin Ridley, and Chig Okonkwo. That’s not elite firepower, but it’s functional — especially for a rookie like Cam.
And more importantly: Cam Ward brings confidence whereas Will Levis brought awkwardness. Levis looked like he was trying to solve a Rubik’s Cube every time the pocket collapsed. Cam? He stays calm, processes fast, and rips it with that lightning-quick release. He doesn’t flinch — he commands.
It’s the 1.01, so people assume it’s a disaster zone. But most 1.01 teams are broken-down shacks. This one? More like an ugly house with good bones. Solid foundation, decent appliances, just needs the right tenant. Cam shows up, and suddenly the whole neighborhood looks better.

What Could Go Wrong?
The O-line could turn into a group of polite spectators, and Cam might spend his rookie season perfecting his escape drills instead of progressing through reads. If things get ugly early, don’t be surprised when Titans fans start quietly DMing Will Levis apology letters — because nothing says forward progress like circling back to the guy who puts mayo in coffee.

Cleveland Browns – The Wild Card

It would feel very on-brand for the Browns to stumble into a franchise QB by accident. Cam Ward falling to them on Day 2? That’s not a strategy — that’s cosmic irony.
But jokes aside, this setup isn’t bad. Actually… it’s kind of exciting. The Watson situation is a disaster, yes — but everything else is quietly ready to roll. You've got Jeudy, Tillman, Njoku, a strong offensive line, and a defense that can get stops. Cam wouldn’t have to throw 45 times just to keep things close — he could just play quarterback and grow into the role.
And Stefanski? He’s not going viral anytime soon, but the guy runs a clean offense and knows how to scheme around his QB’s strengths. Cam would get structure, stability, and the rare chance to develop without getting eaten alive by the moment.

What Could Go Wrong?
Cleveland has a PhD in quarterback misery. If Cam doesn’t light it up immediately, the fanbase could start spiraling by Week 4 — and we’ve seen this movie before. All it takes is one rough outing and suddenly the calls for “the next guy” begin. Before you know it, Cam’s sharing ghost stories with Tim Couch, Brady Quinn, and Baker in the basement of the Browns' facility. The talent is real — but so is the curse.

New York Giants – The Chaos Option

Daniel Jones is gone. The Giants signed Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston this offseason, which feels less like a plan and more like a dare and poor impulse control. If Cam Ward falls here, this team better sprint to the podium — because this offense needs a spark, not a patch job.
The weapons? Still a work in progress. But Malik Nabers is a certified alpha in the making, and pairing him with Cam would be instant fireworks. Tyrone Tracy brings real juice, and guys like Wan’Dale, Hyatt, and rookie TE Theo Johnson give the offense just enough pieces to dream.
Still, let’s be real — this isn’t a comfy landing spot. The O-line needs help, the media will turn on you in 48 hours, and the fans will chant for your replacement by Week 6 if you miss a throw. But if Cam hits here? He doesn’t just become a starter. He becomes a legend.
High risk. Wild upside. Pure chaos. Just how New York likes it.

What could go wrong?
Imagine this: the O-line is still a war crime, Russell Wilson starts doing team prayer circles to “clear the QB energy,” and Jameis Winston starts seeing ghosts on purpose. Cam’s trying to build a connection with Nabers, but he’s running for his life while the tabloids ask if Eli Manning can still throw.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/21/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/21/25

2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Based on Chad Reuter’s NFL.com 2025 NFL DRAFT) Round 2

Using Chad Reuter’s latest 7-round mock draft on NFL.com as the foundation, here is 2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft Round 2. So without further ado…

2.01 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | Houston Texans
Drafted 58th overall, Judkins lands in Houston with one big obstacle: Joe Mixon. Mixon was solid in 2024 and could hold off the rookie early—we saw plenty of vets fend off challengers just last year. But Judkins isn’t just another guy. He’s got brute strength, deceptive wiggle, and that grinder mentality. If Mixon fades or gets banged up, Judkins could eat — and if that happens, this pick becomes an absolute Round 2 heist.

2.02 | Jaylen Blue | RB | Los Angeles Chargers
This is the kind of landing spot that breaks your rankings in half. Blue wasn’t high on most boards—in fact, a lot of managers probably had to Google him mid-draft—but when Harbaugh and Greg Roman take him 55th overall, you perk up. That’s RB-friendly capital in a system designed to smash you in the mouth. Suddenly, the guy you shrugged off is staring down real opportunity in a run-heavy scheme, and now you’re back in the lab, rewatching film and wondering what you missed. I’m adjusting the ranks — and pulling the trigger.

2.04 | Luther Burden | WR | Los Angeles Rams
This is the kind of landing spot that has Burden truthers shaking with excitement and haters nervously googling “What can McVay do with raw wideouts?” Talent has never been the issue — it’s the engagement level. If Burden decides to lock in on football, he could torch secondaries as the third option behind Puka and Davante. He’ll feast on zero coverage — assuming he’s not too busy dropping bars like Toney, who just announced a rap career. Boom or bust? Definitely. But the upside here is wild if the Rams unlock it.

2.05 | Jalen Milroe | QB | Cleveland Browns
Milroe is that rare fantasy project that flashes just enough Lamar to make you dream... and just enough Lance to give you anxiety. But here’s the deal — Cleveland planted a flag at pick 2.33. This isn’t a dart throw — it’s a full-on investment. And when teams do that, you follow the signal. The fantasy equity is instant, and the upside is what people hope they’re drafting every year. The Browns have weapons. The question is: can Milroe operate them, or will the game be too fast?

2.06 | Trevor Etienne | RB | Pittsburgh Steelers
This landing spot is sneaky perfect. Etienne could carve out a 55 %+ share and become the 1A in a run-heavy Arthur Smith offense. He’s got the three-down toolkit that Tomlin loves—vision, burst, soft hands—and doesn’t need 25 touches to make noise. You know the deal: not all the big names will hit, and not all the big hits will be big names. Etienne has the traits and now the opportunity to be that guy who rips off a few RB1 weeks and makes everyone scramble to catch up.

2.07 | Tre Harris | WR | Carolina Panthers
This big-bodied playmaker might be exactly what the doctor ordered for Bryce Young. Harris can win downfield, but what pops is his ability to turn short throws into big YAC chunks—something this offense has sorely lacked. The Panthers are stacking pieces to give Young a fair shot, and Harris is another player who’ll be handed real opportunities. He may never be a WR1, but he’s a QB-friendly target with the traits to quietly become a fantasy staple.

2.08 | Quinn Ewers | QB | Seattle Seahawks
Seattle gave Sam Darnold a starter’s contract… but they also gave themselves a way out after one year. That’s the crack in the door for Quinn Ewers, and it’s all he needs. The arm talent is undeniable, the pedigree is legit—it’s just the consistency that’s always kept him in limbo. But this draft capital says he’s going to get a shot, and with the weapons in Seattle, it doesn’t take much to unlock fantasy relevance. Low floor, high ceiling, but at this point in the draft, it’s juice worth squeezing.

2.09 | Cameron Skattebo | RB | New York Giants
This is a pick you make because you love the player, even if the situation feels like a middle finger to your rankings. Tyrone Tracy truthers will scream “charlatan!” and pretend Skattebo doesn’t exist — but Day 2 capital says otherwise. The Giants need so much help, and taking Skattebo this high means he’s part of the plan, whether fantasy managers like it or not. Yes, the landing spot muddies both backs short-term, but if one goes down? The other might wreck your league.

2.10 | Tyler Shough | QB | New York Giants
Drafted on Day 2 by the Giants, Shough is walking into a perfect slow-bake setup. He’ll sit behind a couple of bridge QBs, learn the pro game, and wait for the moment to let those big-time tools rip. The talent has never been the issue—it’s the injuries and inconsistency. But if he stays upright and gets the shot, this could be a home run pick stashed at the back of the second. There’s risk, sure—but there’s also prototype upside just waiting to be uncaged.

2.11 | Elijah Arroyo | TE | Jacksonville Jaguars
Yes, Strange has been solid, but Arroyo brings another level of talent to the room. He’s a versatile weapon—fluid in his routes, strong hands, smooth after the catch—just plain fun to watch. But the man’s injury history would make Wile E. Coyote wince. Still, if he can hold it together physically, he’s got a real shot to be a weekly contributor at a brutal position. High-risk, high-reward — exactly what you want at the back end of Round 2.

2.12 | Mason Taylor | TE | Denver Broncos
Taylor was always more of a “real football” TE than a fantasy darling, but it’s hard to ignore this landing spot. Sean Payton went and got his guy at 2.51, even after trading for Evan Engram. Taylor will likely be used more inline, which caps upside… but the capital, coach, and offense make this a worthy gamble. It might be a case of overvaluing landing spot vs pre-draft expectation, but if the NFL believes, and the role grows, this pick could sneak into relevance, especially in tight end premium formats.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/21/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/21/25

2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Based on Chad Reuter’s NFL.com NFL DRAFT) Round 1

Every year, the NFL Draft reshapes the dynasty landscape—and landing spots can send player values skyrocketing or crashing in real time. Using Chad Reuter’s latest 7-round mock draft on NFL.com as the foundation, I put together a 2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft to reflect how these prospects should come off the board based on their new homes and draft capital.

This isn’t just about talent—it’s about opportunity, team fit, and how front offices view these players. Some names rise because they landed in a dream scenario, while others fall victim to depth charts or disappointing draft slots. Let’s dive into how your rookie drafts could look if Reuter’s predictions come to life—starting with the no-brainer picks at the top, all the way down to the sleeper darts you’ll be throwing in the later rounds.

ROUND 1

1.01 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | New England Patriots
New coaching staff. Statement pick. The Pats spend the 4th overall on Jeanty — this isn’t a depth add, it’s a regime-defining move. He’s coming in to be Drake Maye’s baby blanket and Vrabel’s bell cow, full stop. Smooth feet, elite vision, soft hands — he checks every box. Don’t get cute. This is your 1.01.

1.02 | Cameron Ward | QB | Tennessee Titans
Ward goes 1st overall, and that kind of investment buys you 3–4 years minimum of runway—no questions asked. The Titans already have Pollard and Spears to take the heat off, and Ridley still has juice as a WR1. But the real kicker? Brian Callahan is going to scheme this kid into greatness. Ward’s got the arm, the poise, the twitchy release — and now the backing to grow into a fantasy cornerstone.

1.03 | Travis Hunter | WR | Cleveland Browns
The talent? Undeniable. The buzz? He’s playing real WR snaps, and that’s where the fantasy juice starts flowing. He’ll compete early with Jeudy and Njoku for targets, and yeah — the QB situation is murky. But Hunter is the real deal, both athletically and mentally. If he’s full-time offense, this could be a steal. Don’t let positional confusion scare you off the upside.

1.04 | Jaxson Dart | QB | New Orleans Saints
Yes, Sanders went earlier in the NFL Draft. But Dart’s path to starting is much clearer, and in dynasty, clarity matters. You’ll know fast whether you’ve got something or if it’s time to pivot. The Saints need a spark, and Dart has the tools—athleticism, toughness, and just enough chaos to be dangerous. The question is: can New Orleans rein him in? I’ll take that swing in Superflex and bet on value now, not maybe later.

1.05 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | Las Vegas Raiders
Drafted 6th overall, Sanders lands behind Geno Smith, but let’s not get too comfy — Geno’s the 3rd oldest starting QB in the NFL. This isn’t about Week 1 starts; it’s about long-term investment in a quarterback with real tools and the right mentality. Sanders might sit, but he’s built to lead—and top-10 QBs are dynasty gold. You’re buying future security here, and when the opportunity comes, it’ll stick. The real uncertainty? When it arrives.

1.06 | Omarion Hampton | RB | Denver Broncos
Drafted 20th overall by Sean Payton, Hampton isn’t just walking into opportunity—he’s being handed the keys. The Broncos’ RB room? Basically a motivational quote and a couple of bodies. Hampton brings a true three-down profile—he’s smooth through the hole, powerful through contact, and can catch. And if Payton’s making him a first-round pick, that’s not just trust—that’s a feature role incoming. Hampton’s elite capital and early volume make him a priority target even in a strong RB class.

1.07 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | Dallas Cowboys
This feels like finding free money on the sidewalk. You weren’t planning on Henderson being here, but you’re not asking questions either. Drafted 44th overall, he lands in Dallas, where the team is thirsty for RB production, and he’s got the traits to end the drought in a hurry. Field-flipping speed, home-run vision, and the ability to put 10+ points on the board with a single touch. If McCarthy uses him right, Henderson could end up the best fantasy back in this entire class—and it wouldn’t be a shock at all.

1.08 | Colston Loveland | TE | Los Angeles Chargers
The Warren vs. Loveland debate will live on in group chats forever—but Loveland may have just taken the lead. He reunites with Jim Harbaugh, his college coach, and walks into an offense led by Justin Herbert. That’s not just familiarity—that’s trust baked in from Day 1. Loveland is the smoother route runner, less scheme-dependent, and has a path to become Herbert’s go-to mismatch over the middle. This is the kind of pick that locks down your TE slot for the next 8+ years.

1.09 | Tyler Warren | TE | Indianapolis Colts
Another “how did he fall this far?” moment—but that’s what happens in Superflex when QBs flood the top. Drafted 13th overall, Warren is a matchup nightmare with the versatility to be schemed all over the field. Indy clearly has a plan—you don’t spend that kind of capital to let him rot. And yet... the whispers of Kyle Pitts echo from the basement, warning fantasy managers to fear the unknown. But this isn’t Atlanta. Warren has the traits, the landing spot, and the draft capital—don’t let past trauma block future production.

1.10 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | Green Bay Packers
Name fatigue hit Emeka hard this draft cycle, but this landing spot is the antidote. The Packers are clamoring for a true WR1, and Egbuka walks in as the most reliable, pro-ready option they’ve had in years. Work ethic, toughness, intelligence — he’s going to outwork your DB on every single route. This isn’t a flashy pick, it’s a foundational one. If he becomes Jordan Love’s go-to, you’re locking in a steady fantasy WR2 with weekly upside for years to come.

1.11 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | Seattle Seahawks
No name in this class took a bigger hit than Tet’s. Once the unquestioned WR1, he’s now drifting into WR3/4 territory on some boards. Drafted 18th overall, he lands in Seattle with JSN ascending and Cooper Kupp mentoring—and honestly, it might be the best thing for him. McMillan won’t be forced into an alpha role. Instead, he can thrive as a high-level WR2/3 while learning from a player he could stylistically mirror in Kupp. The path just got longer, not dimmer.

1.12 | Matthew Golden | WR | Dallas Cowboys
No WR boosted their stock more than Golden. He flashed in the playoffs, crushed the combine, and now goes 12th overall to the Cowboys, lining up opposite CeeDee Lamb in one of the league’s most high-powered offenses. Even if you weren’t a believer before, this landing spot should shake you awake. If the O-line gets right, this unit could erupt for fantasy production, and Golden’s smooth route running and deep speed give him a real shot to rise, even in the eyes of his harshest critics.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/20/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/20/25

2025 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Based on Chad Reuter’s NFL.com 2025 NFL MOCK DRAFT) Best of the rest

Kyle McCord | QB | New York Jets | 3.73
With Rodgers gone and Fields on a short-term trial, McCord has a real shot at carving out a future in New York. Fields got a “show me” deal, and if he stumbles, McCord could step in — not as a flier, but as the planned contingency. He’s got tools, pedigree, and draft capital that says the Jets see something. In Superflex formats, he’s a sneaky stash who could end up starting games sooner than expected.

Will Howard | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers | 4.123
Howard showed a solid floor on the big stage, and now lands with a stability-first franchise in Pittsburgh. The Steelers don’t panic — they build around their QBs, and if you can process the offense and manage the game, they’ll keep you in the saddle. Howard may never be a fantasy star, but he’s the kind of guy who could settle in as a steady QB2 with weekly floor value in Superflex leagues. Boring? Maybe. But boring that starts is still better than upside that never sees the field.

Dillon Gabriel (QB, Miami Dolphins – 4.135)
If you had to handpick a landing spot for Gabriel, Mike McDaniel’s quick-hitting, timing-based offense might be the perfect match. He’s not going to be a fantasy star, but if Tua misses time (which, let’s be honest, is always on the table), Gabriel could step in and keep the offense clicking. He’s accurate, he’s decisive, and he fits the rhythm. Gabriel truthers won’t let him fall out of the 3rd in Superflex — and frankly, they might be right.

Brashard Smith (WR, Minnesota Vikings – 5.139)
This is the kind of player who could easily sneak into the 3rd round of rookie drafts — and maybe should. Smith has a fantasy-friendly skill set, with burst, versatility, and just enough “what if” to get dynasty managers intrigued. In Minnesota, he joins a depth chart with an aging Aaron Jones and a limited Jordan Mason, which opens the door for him to carve out a role quickly. With the right usage, he could go from Day 3 afterthought to sneaky PPR flex before long.

Ollie Gordon (RB, Miami Dolphins – 5.155)
Gordon’s star burned fast and bright, then fizzled just as quickly. But Miami? Miami might be the spark to light it up again. He’s got the build and style to step into that Mostert role, the one Wright couldn’t quite grasp in 2024, and that’s a direct ticket to fantasy relevance. Just a year removed from winning the Doak Walker Award, Gordon lands in an offense that could resurrect his stock overnight. Don’t be shocked if he’s right back on highlight reels before long.

Donovan Edwards (RB, Baltimore Ravens – 6.212)
Once the face of the NCAA 25 revival and a national champ with Michigan, Edwards looked like a future star. But those may end up being the highlight reel of his career. He slips to the 6th round, landing in Baltimore — an offense that historically hasn’t featured RBs in the passing game, which is his best trait. Still, maybe this signals a shift. Maybe the Ravens are ready to expand their offense and tap into what made Edwards special at Michigan. Or maybe this is just a name we remember fondly from what almost was.

LeQuint Allen (RB, Washington Commanders – 7.245)
Allen is a project player, but one who’s improved every year and brings a rare receiver-level route tree to the RB position. He’s got the hands, the agility, and the upside... but unfortunately, not the draft capital. Sliding to the 7th round will temper even the most bullish believers, and that draft day fall will push him down rookie boards. Still, if Washington gets creative — or injuries open the door — Allen could be a PPR dark horse worth stashing in deeper formats.

Tory Horton (WR, Los Angeles Chargers – 6.199)
If Horton had about 10–15 more pounds on him, we’re probably talking about a Day 2 pick. He’s a polished route runner with dependable hands. The Chargers give him everything he needs to succeed: a franchise QB in Herbert, a coaching staff that values player development, and a depth chart that’s rebuilding from scratch. He’s not flashy, but Horton has the talent and the setup to grow into an NFL contributor — and maybe a fantasy flex if things break right.

Xavier Restrepo (WR, Tennessee Titans – 6.178)
Restrepo’s 40 time was painfully pedestrian, and the fact that it’s been mildly disputed doesn’t exactly help his case. The result? A 6th-round slide that makes him a long shot in the eyes of most dynasty players. But hey — it’s the Titans. The depth chart is paper-thin after Ridley. If the dust settles and Restrepo’s still standing, he could be a sneaky slot option, and a decent late dart throw in deep leagues. Low expectations, but low risk too.

Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, New York Jets – 4.111)
Fannin is going to climb rookie drafts thanks to his absurd college production profile and a fanbase that’s already pounding the table. Landing in New York gives him a real shot to start early, but let’s be honest — this isn’t exactly a fantasy-friendly offense. Still, Fannin is a legit weapon if he can earn trust and stay on the field. The talent is there to become a TE2 with upside, and if the Jets offense ever finds a pulse, he could turn into a steal at this ADP.

Oronde Gadsden II (WR/TE, Philadelphia Eagles – 5.164)
This is the kind of raw talent I’m happy to bet on at this point in the draft. Gadsden has the athleticism to be a mismatch nightmare, but he’s got work to do on technique and polish. Luckily, he lands in Philly — one of the best organizations in the league when it comes to developing versatile weapons. If anyone can mold him into a fantasy asset, it’s the Eagles. It might take time, but if he clicks, you’re looking at a potential move-TE or hybrid monster who can exploit defenses every week.

Gunnar Helm (TE, Miami Dolphins – 4.117)
Helm isn’t going to light up your group chat, but landing in Miami makes him quietly interesting. He’s a solid blocker with just enough athleticism to leak out for sneaky production in a Mike McDaniel offense that thrives on unpredictability. You’re not drafting him expecting fireworks, but if he earns the trust to stay on the field, he could become one of those annoying bye-week fillers who sneaks a TD here and there. In tight end premium formats, that’s worth a stash.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/17/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/17/25

2025 NFL Draft: QB or not QB? Shedeur Sanders

Shedeur Sanders – Fit Check

If Cam Ward goes No. 1, Shedeur Sanders becomes the next big domino — and honestly, the teams left on the board might fit him even better.

Both Cam and Shedeur bring that rare QB presence — calm, confident, and in control. Both started at smaller schools, both proved they belonged on a bigger stage, and both come into the league with chips on their shoulders and receipts in their pockets. But stylistically, they’re two very different weapons.

Cam is chaos in a good way — off-script juice, wild arm talent, and just enough “what did I just watch?” to get coaches excited and nervous. He thrives when structure breaks down.

Shedeur? He is the structure. He wins with timing, poise, and efficiency. His game is built on precision reads and staying cool when the pocket collapses. He’s not looking to play hero ball — he’s looking to play quarterback. And in the right system, that’s exactly what makes him dangerous.

He’s not the flashiest QB in the class, but he might be the most stable. And for a franchise that needs a steady hand and a long-term leader? Sanders might be the cleanest fit on the board.

**Cleveland Browns – The Boring (but Right) Fit**

There’s nothing sexy about Shedeur Sanders landing in Cleveland — and honestly, that’s kind of the beauty of it. This team doesn’t need flash or fireworks. It needs a quarterback who can keep the offense from imploding and the broadcast team from sounding like grief counselors.
Shedeur’s game is built for exactly that. He’s a structure guy — timing, rhythm, ball security, and poise under pressure. He’s not trying to win the game by himself. He’s trying to win *with* the game plan. Let the run game eat, let the defense do its job, and just don’t be the reason things go off the rails.
It won’t set fantasy Twitter on fire. But it’s the kind of fit that could quietly turn into a long-term win — if the Browns can avoid being the Browns. Which, let’s be real, is never a sure thing.

What Could Go Wrong?
The team hits eject midseason, and suddenly Shedeur’s running Stefanski’s precision offense with the practice squad on Sundays. Then Stefanski — fired for not being dramatic enough — is replaced by the next "offensive guru", and the coaching carousel begins. Before long, Shedeur’s name is quietly stitched onto the back of another haunted Browns jersey, hung up somewhere between Brady Quinn and That Other Guy We All Forgot About.

**New York Giants – Lights, Camera, Shedeur**

If Shedeur Sanders lands in New York, nobody’s going to question whether he can handle the pressure — he’s been living under a spotlight since before he could drive. He’s one of the few rookies in this class who wouldn’t blink when the media turns, the crowd boos, or the back page headlines start writing themselves. That’s just Tuesday for Shedeur.
And on the field? There’s a real path here. Daboll wants rhythm. He wants accuracy. He wants someone who can actually execute his offense without turning every play into a scramble drill. Shedeur fits that mold — he’s built to deliver on time and in structure. Add Malik Nabers as a legit WR1, Tyrone Tracy as a chess piece, and a few athletic projects around the edges, and you’ve got a young, moldable core.
It’s not a clean situation — far from it. The offensive line is still a weekly concern, and Russell Wilson or Jameis Winston could end up starting just long enough to confuse the timeline. But if Shedeur ends up here, he has the poise and processing to survive it… and eventually thrive in it.

What Could Go Wrong?
The offensive line could collapse early and often, turning Shedeur into a live-action crash test dummy by Week 3. Daboll — never one to hide frustration — might lose patience and short-circuit the whole development plan. And if Russell Wilson somehow cooks just enough to snag a playoff spot? Shedeur’s rookie year turns into a clipboard crash course in patience, while the family group chat quietly boils.

**Las Vegas Raiders – The Long Play**

It’s not the most obvious fit, but it’s not that crazy either. The Raiders just traded for Geno Smith and gave him an extension — which, yes, makes him the guy for now. But he’s also the third-oldest starting QB in the league behind Stafford and Russ, so let’s not pretend this is a 5-year plan.
Enter Shedeur. The offense isn’t flashy, but it’s functional. Bowers is a star, Meyers gives you a steady vet, and there’s enough here for a young QB to grow. And with Pete Carroll now running the show, the setup feels oddly stable — like something a rookie could step into without the house collapsing.
Atlanta just showed the league you can sign a vet and still draft your QB of the future. If the Raiders are serious about building stability for years to come, Shedeur could be the play… even if he doesn’t see the field right away.

What Could Go Wrong?
Geno plays just well enough to keep the job, and Shedeur spends two years waiting for a shot that never comes. Then Carroll retires, the new regime rolls in with a fresh “vision,” and suddenly there’s a new head coach, new draft strategy, and a different quarterback on the board before Shedeur’s even thrown a pass. It’s not that he failed — he just got caught in another Raiders reset.

**New Orleans Saints – The Open Door**

If Shedeur Sanders lands in New Orleans, he’s not sitting long — if at all. Derek Carr is about as “throwing in the towel” as a starting QB can be. This isn’t a playoff team. It’s a team in transition. And Shedeur could realistically win the job in camp without much drama.
The weapons aren’t elite, but they’re functional. Kamara gives you a true outlet and a safety valve in the passing game. Olave — when healthy — is a technician and chain-mover. And even if the rest of the cast isn’t headline-worthy, there’s enough here to support a young QB without throwing him to the wolves.
But here’s the risk: the scheme. It’s not a clean fit for what Shedeur does best. And when quarterbacks land in systems that don’t match their strengths? That’s where things fall apart — not because they weren’t good, but because the team never gave them a real chance to succeed.
There’s opportunity here. But only if the staff doesn’t fumble it.

What Could Go Wrong?
Carr drags the team to a classic 7–10 season — just good enough to keep things stuck in neutral and buy himself another year of mediocrity. The coaching staff refuses to adapt, doubles down on their stale scheme, and calls it “culture” like that makes it less outdated. Then the inevitable hits: the staff gets canned, and Shedeur’s left trying to win over a new regime that didn’t draft him, didn’t ask for him, and is already peeking at the next shiny QB prospect.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/16/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/16/25

2025 NFL Draft: QB or not QB? Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart – The Wild Card

Jaxson Dart came into college football with five-star hype and just enough chaos in his game to keep scouts coming back. Now, with the draft around the corner, the buzz is building again — because there’s always going to be a coach out there who watches the tape, ignores the mess, and convinces himself “I can fix that.”

And hey — maybe they can.

The tools are real. The kid’s got guts. He’s mobile, aggressive, and when he’s in rhythm, he looks like a future starter. One week he’s on point, the next he’s testing zone coverage like a full-blown game of 500.

You don’t draft Dart for safety. You draft him because you think your building can handle the ride. That there’s enough structure around him to clean up the noise and let the gamer shine through. But just know — if it goes wrong, it’s going to go loudly wrong.

Let’s take a look at where this ride could take him… and where it could skid off the rails.

**New Orleans Saints – The Swing for the Fences**

If the Saints take Dart, they’re not drafting a quarterback — they’re taking a shot of adrenaline and hoping it doesn’t kill them. Carr is the walking definition of “we’ll figure it out later,” and Dart brings the kind of chaos energy that could shake this whole thing up.
They could take him early… or wait, hope he slides, and trade back in for the swing. Either move screams belief in their own ability to coach him up — which, let’s be honest, is how a lot of these decisions get made.
The tools are legit. The upside is real. And with Kamara and Olave as training wheels, it’s at least a functional environment. It’s a gamble — but at least it wouldn’t be boring.

What Could Go Wrong?
He starts too early and treats every throw like it’s 3rd-and-12, trying to play hero before the play even develops. The inconsistency kicks in fast — and the city turns on him even faster. What started as a high-upside swing quickly becomes a cautionary tale, and Dart becomes the next “QB of the future” who peaked at the press conference.

**Pittsburgh Steelers – The Grit Pick**

If Jaxson Dart ends up in Pittsburgh, it’s because someone in that building watched his tape and saw a gamer — not a project. He plays with toughness, fire, and just enough chaos to make the idea feel dangerous in a good way. That’s a vibe the Steelers have leaned into before.
Right now, the QB room features Mason Rudolph and a blinking vacancy sign. Dart wouldn’t be walking into pressure — he’d be walking into opportunity. Pickens and Metcalf (yes, that’s real now) give him two explosive options, and Tomlin gives him structure, accountability, and just enough leash to grow without going full chaos goblin.
The defense is good enough to keep games close, and the coaching staff has shown they know how to develop players — even if they don’t always get flashy doing it. It’s not the sexiest landing spot, but for Dart, it might be the one with the cleanest path to mattering.

What Could Go Wrong?
He gets off to a rocky start, and suddenly the Terrible Towels turn into slingshots by Week 5. Dart plays just erratically enough to hand Tomlin his first losing season — and that’s how you end up as a trivia question. Meanwhile, the AFC North chews him up, and by Year 2 he’s got a podcast beard and a backup plan.

**Los Angeles Rams – The Long Game**

If Dart lands with the Rams, it’s the clearest “sit and learn” situation on the board. No pressure, no urgency — just vibes and Sean McVay whispering coverages in his ear for a year or two. Stafford's still in place, but everyone knows the end is coming. This would be a developmental swing with real upside baked in.
McVay runs one of the most QB-friendly systems in football — built to polish rough edges and elevate natural talent. Puka looks like a long-term WR1, and with Adams now in town, this offense suddenly feels a lot less transitional than people think. This isn’t a team stumbling into the future — it’s one planning for it.
And Dart? He’d land in a stable environment with one of the league’s best play-callers, a Super Bowl-winning mentor in Stafford, and real weapons waiting for him when it’s time.
It’s not a fireworks show right away. But if you’re betting on Dart’s long-term ceiling, this might be the landing spot with the highest roof.

What Could Go Wrong?
Dart masters the playbook, but forgets how to actually play football in the process. Then McVay peaces out for Amazon Prime, and suddenly Dart’s stuck in a full-blown rebuild. And by the time Stafford finally hands over the keys, Dart’s been on the bench so long they’re calling him “veteran presence” — and he still hasn’t started a game.

Kelli Hammersmith 4/14/25 Kelli Hammersmith 4/14/25

2025 NFL Draft: Top Landing Spots for Rookie RBs

Every year, a fresh crop of running backs storms into the NFL like kids showing up to college with a duffel bag full of dreams and zero clue where the cafeteria is. They’ve got the hype, the highlights, and just enough delusion to believe they’ll all be the next CMC. But let’s be real — talent is only half the battle. If you land behind a washed-up vet in a committee nightmare, your rookie season's going straight to the waiver wire.

That’s why the landing spot matters—a lot.

As we gear up for the 2025 NFL Draft, five teams stand out as fantasy goldmines — places where a rookie RB could walk in, plant their flag, and start racking up points while making us look like geniuses for drafting them. These teams have the draft capital, the roster holes, and just enough desperation to hand the keys to a fresh-legged rookie.

So grab your notebook, these are the five rookie RB landing spots that could turn “who?” into a “league-winner” by midseason.

Chicago Bears – Building a Committee with Firepower

New head coach Ben Johnson rolls into Chicago with a fresh playbook, a brain full of scheme wizardry, and a deep love for running-back-by-committee chaos. Think of him as a mad scientist who likes to stir the pot — and right now, that pot contains D’Andre Swift. But don’t get too comfortable, Swifties.

With premium picks at 10, 39, and 41, the Bears are sitting on a juicy opportunity to add a thunder to Swift’s lightning — or, if we’re being honest, maybe just a shinier, more talented player. This backfield is one top-50 pick away from a full-blown shakeup. If the Bears bite, whoever they draft could be riding shotgun in a much-improved offense… and fantasy managers should be circling this landing spot in bold red ink.

**Ashton Jeanty (Pick 10):** The most complete back in the class. Jeanty glides through lanes like he's on rails, with the vision to find daylight and the contact balance to finish runs like a vet. He can run inside, bounce it outside, catch passes like a slot receiver, and probably file your taxes if you asked nicely. In Ben Johnson’s system, he wouldn’t just fit — he’d thrive. Give him a few weeks, and Jeanty could be stealing touches, hearts, and D’Andre Swift’s job.
**Quinshon Judkins (Pick 39/41):** If the Bears pass on a back at 10, Judkins is a Round 2 sledgehammer waiting to be unleashed. He’s the kind of runner who turns 3-yard gains into 7-yard punishments. Add in sneaky-good hands and you’ve got a perfect lead dog for a rotational system. He won’t break every play wide-open, but he’ll break you by the fourth quarter. Ben Johnson would love this kind of reliable brutality.

Dallas Cowboys – Time to Fix the Run Game

Tony Pollard is gone, Ezekiel Elliott is a distant memory (and maybe still getting paid?), and right now the Cowboys’ backfield looks like that junk drawer you keep promising to clean out. Enter the perfect storm for a rookie to ride in on a star-spangled stallion and take over.

Jerry Jones loves a flashy pick, and with no true lead back, the Cowboys are practically begging for a fresh pair of legs. Drafting a rookie RB here wouldn’t just be smart — it’d be a marketing move. Slap a star on the helmet, throw the kid on a billboard, and let fantasy managers argue over whether he’s the next Emmitt Smith or just another Ronald Jones. Either way, the opportunity is prime rib.

**Kaleb Johnson (Pick 44):** If Jerry wants to bring swagger back to Dallas, this is the move. Kaleb Johnson runs like a storm breaking loose — explosive burst, smooth acceleration, and just enough contact power to make defenders question their career choices. He’s not a finesse guy, but he can dust a linebacker in the open field and finish through a safety. This is a low-cost, high-upside weapon built for primetime.
**Bhayshul Tuten (Pick 76):** Tuten doesn’t just bring juice — he brings hot sauce. This dude is a walking chunk play, with the burst to rip through arm tackles and the hands to line up like a third-down weapon. Tuten would be the perfect lightning bolt in a modern committee, flipping field position and flipping fantasy matchups in the blink of an eye. Jerry loves flash — and Tuten’s got it,

Los Angeles Chargers – Harbaugh Needs His Bell Cow

The depth chart’s thinner than Harbaugh’s patience for finesse football. With nothing but question marks in the backfield and a head coach who treats the run game like a religion, this spot is ripe for a rookie takeover. Expect an offense built around power runs, grit, and running backs who aren’t afraid to take a hit and deliver one right back.

For any rookie RB with toughness and vision, this is a golden opportunity to step in and get fed like it’s Thanksgiving every Sunday. There’s no RB1 here yet — just a big hole and a coach who’s gonna fill it.

**Omarion Hampton (Pick 22):** Downhill, powerful, and efficient — Hampton runs like a freight train with purpose. He’s exactly the kind of early-down enforcer Harbaugh forged his Michigan identity around. Vision? Check. Pad level? Nasty. Legs? Always churning. He doesn’t dance — he delivers punishment. Drop him into this Chargers offense and he’s immediately the tone-setter, the short-yardage weapon, and the guy who makes DBs start business decisions by the second quarter.
**Devin Neal (Pick 86):** Devin Neal is the kind of back who doesn't need a hype reel to prove he belongs. He sees the field like a vet, hits the hole with purpose, and does all the little things that keep offensive coordinators sleeping easy. You won’t find him on a lot of TikTok highlights — you’ll find him on the field every down because he just doesn’t mess up. In a Harbaugh system that values precision and consistency, Neal could quietly carve out a significant role. Fantasy value? Boring on paper — annoying as hell for your league mates when he’s putting up 14 points every week.

Denver Broncos – A Clean Slate

Javonte Williams was supposed to be the guy. Then came the injuries, the inconsistency, and a whole lot of “meh.” Sean Payton’s offense is sputtering like an old lawnmower, and he knows it. You don’t spend your days coaching Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara just to sit back and roll out RB purgatory.

With a gaping hole in the backfield and a coach who knows how to feed an RB, the Broncos are ripe for a rookie takeover. This is a team that could easily invest early capital in a do-it-all back and use them. In Payton’s world, you block, you catch, you run — and if you do it well, you get fed. A rookie here could quietly become a top-15 RB by Halloween.

**TreVeyon Henderson (Pick 20):** TreVeyon brings big-play electricity and that rare blend of burst, balance, and big-game polish. He’s not built for grind-it-out slogs — he’s built to flip the field in a flash. And while injuries have knocked some shine off his profile, he’s still got that home run gear you can’t teach. In Denver, he’d be the spark plug this offense desperately needs. Payton knows how to scheme for this archetype — think Kamara-lite, with more straight-line juice. If TreVeyon lands here and stays healthy, we’re talking instant fantasy relevance with RB1 weeks baked in.
**LeQuint Allen (Pick 85):** One of the best pass-catching backs in the class, Allen brings poise, vision, and that silky third-down polish coaches dream about. He’s not here to win a bruiser contest — he’s here to break ankles, move chains, and make linebackers look lost in coverage. If Denver wants versatility over violence, Allen is the answer. He’s got the all-purpose game to anchor a modern backfield, especially in a Sean Payton offense that values intelligence, timing, and clean execution. Think less sledgehammer, more scalpel — and in today’s NFL, that might just be the better weapon.

Kansas City Chiefs – Reloading for Another Run

Every year, we ask the same question: What if the Chiefs drafted a real RB? Not a timeshare guy. Not a gadget back. But a true, fantasy-devouring monster. Isiah Pacheco is fun, but even the Chiefs seem unsure how to use him long-term. KC has the luxury to take a big swing on an explosive rookie RB and let Mahomes’ gravity do the rest. Imagine a rookie with actual juice lining up next to the best QB in football. That’s not just a dream — it’s a potential league-winner. If the Chiefs go all-in, this backfield turns into fantasy Disneyland overnight.

Here’s what to consider …

**Cameron Skattebo (Pick 66):** Skattebo doesn’t care about your analytics. He’s here to hurt feelings, break tackles, and pick up first downs like it’s a personal vendetta. Built like a bouncer with ballet feet, Skattebo brings a violent, downhill style that still manages to look weirdly nimble. He doesn’t run so much as barrel forward with intention — and usually, someone’s helmet pops off. Drop him into Kansas City and he becomes the chaos agent in the most unpredictable offense in football. Imagine Mahomes flipping a no-look shovel to Skattebo, who then stiff-arms a linebacker into another timeline. It might not be clean, but it would be glorious. He’s the wildcard that somehow works — especially with a play-caller like Andy Reid pulling the strings.
**Trevor Etienne (Pick 95):** Etienne plays like he’s got a joystick in his head — sudden, calculated, and always one move ahead. He’s got elite processing between the tackles, slippery acceleration, and just enough pop to keep defenders honest. Add in sure hands and a career drop rate under 2%, and you've got a back that never takes your offense off schedule. In Kansas City, he’d be the ultimate cheat code. Defenses already stretched thin trying to track Mahomes and Kelce would now have to account for a back who can shift from patient runner to human missile in a split second. Etienne doesn’t need 20 carries — just a crack in the armor. And with Andy Reid calling plays? He’s getting it.

Final Thoughts

Each of these five teams is more than just a good fit — they’re launchpads. For the right rookie, these landing spots could turn potential into production real fast. Whether you're an NFL junkie hunting for breakout stars or a dynasty manager trying to draft your way to glory, these are the backfields to watch when the clock starts ticking in April.

Because opportunity matters. And when talent meets the right situation?

That’s how legends — and league-winners — are born.

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Your Destination for Fantasy Football Intelligence

Quinn Ewers – The Bounce Back

Jalen Milroe – The Wild Engine

Final Thought

Cam Ward – The Lightning Rod

Tennessee Titans – The Real Deal at 1.01

Cleveland Browns – The Wild Card

New York Giants – The Chaos Option

Shedeur Sanders – Fit Check

Cleveland Browns – The Boring (but Right) Fit

New York Giants – Lights, Camera, Shedeur

Las Vegas Raiders – The Long Play

New Orleans Saints – The Open Door

Jaxson Dart – The Wild Card

New Orleans Saints – The Swing for the Fences

Pittsburgh Steelers – The Grit Pick

Los Angeles Rams – The Long Game

Chicago Bears – Building a Committee with Firepower

Dallas Cowboys – Time to Fix the Run Game

Los Angeles Chargers – Harbaugh Needs His Bell Cow

Denver Broncos – A Clean Slate

Kansas City Chiefs – Reloading for Another Run

Final Thoughts