2025 QUARTERBACK RANKINGS & PROJECTIONS | PRESEASON

Aug 20

Welcome to my 2025 QB projections and rankings.

These initial projections are built using standard PPR scoring with 6-point passing touchdowns. Once we get through preseason, injury updates, and depth chart clarity, I’ll drop a fully updated version on Labor Day weekend. Happy Drafting!

TIER ONE | The Elite

1. Lamar Jackson | BALTIMORE RAVENS

Underdog: 2 | FastDraft: 2 | Sleeper: 3 | Dynasty Nerds: 2 | KTC: 2

Lamar Jackson is coming off a historic season, torching defenses for a career-high 41 passing touchdowns with just 4 interceptions, cementing one of the most efficient campaigns in recent memory. Regression feels inevitable; those Madden-level numbers are nearly impossible to repeat, but that doesn’t mean Lamar will be any less of a fantasy force. With multiple MVPs already to his name, there’s one goal left to chase: a Super Bowl ring.

I’m projecting pullback to 32 passing TDs, but he makes up for it with 4,600 total yards from scrimmage and another 4 on the ground. That’s 36 total touchdowns, with an elite weekly floor. Despite projected regression across the board, Lamar Jackson sits atop my preseason 2025 rankings.

Lamar Jackson – 2025 Projection
CmpAttCmp%YdsTDIntRush YdsRush TDsFmbTotal FPFantasy PPG
31547965.7%388332978749412.5824.27

2. Josh Allen | BUFFALO BILLS

Underdog: 1 | FastDraft: 1 | Sleeper: 1 | Dynasty Nerds: 1 | KTC: 1

The reigning MVP, Josh Allen, lands at QB2. He narrowly edged out Lamar for the award in 2024, but let’s be honest, if Derrick Henry wasn’t plowing through defenses in Baltimore, Lamar might’ve secured MVP No. 3.

Allen's rushing touchdown total dropped to 12 in 2024 after posting 15 in 2023, and I’m projecting another small step down to 10 rushing TDs in 2025. Still, he remains dominant near the goal line and adds a rock-solid passing baseline: 3,921 passing yards, 28 TDs, and only 6 interceptions.

Even if his passing efficiency slides slightly, an uptick in volume keeps his fantasy output intact. With elite consistency and multi-TD upside every week, Allen stays locked into Tier 1.

Josh Allen – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  340
  523
  65.0%
  3921
  28
  6
  525
  10
  7
  412.14
  24.24

3. Jalen Hurts - PHILADELHIA EAGLES

Underdog: 4 | FastDraft: 4 | Sleeper: 5 | Dynasty Nerds: 4 | KTC: 4

Jalen Hurts slots in at QB3. He missed two games last season and still racked up 14 rushing touchdowns and over 3,500 combined yards, reinforcing his status as one of the most reliable dual-threats in fantasy.

I’m projecting an increase in pass volume this year, currently forecasted for 3,786 passing yards, 25 TDs, and 8 interceptions. The likelihood of defensive adjustments to the run game drives this shift. Also, with one of the toughest schedules in the league, the Eagles should face tighter games and thus more passing volume.

Even after a step back in 2024 fantasy production, Hurts remains one of the most dangerous QBs in the game. He’s not satisfied with one Super Bowl, and fantasy managers will reap the rewards.

Jalen Hurts – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  334
  498
  67.0%
  3786
  25
  8
  652
  11
  8
  399.20
  23.48

4. Jayden Daniels - WAShington commanders

Underdog: 3 | FastDraft: 3 | Sleeper: 2 | Dynasty Nerds: 3 | KTC: 3

Jayden Daniels delivered one of the greatest rookie QB seasons of all time: 3,568 passing yards, 25 passing TDs, a 69% completion rate, and an NFL rookie record 891 rushing yards. Yes, the stats were amazing, but it was the poise and his vibe that set him apart.

For 2025, I’m projecting a slight dip in efficiency but a bump in volume as Daniels takes on more of the playbook heading into his 2nd year. He’s got the rushing floor, an essential trait among these top-tier QBs, that cushions any inconsistency through the air. The rookie-year magic might not be replicated, but the dual-threat production is here to stay, and Daniels has a clear path to the QB1 tier for the near future.

Jayden Daniels – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  366
  546
  67.0%
  3822
  27
  11
  756
  6
  5
  396.44
  23.32

TIER TWO | WEEKLY STARTERS

5. Joe Burrow - CINcinatti bengals

Underdog: 5 | FastDraft: 5 | Sleeper: 4 | Dynasty Nerds: 5 | KTC: 5

Joe Burrow headlines my Tier 2 QB. Last season, Burrow set career highs in pass attempts (652), passing yards (4,918), and touchdowns (43), carrying the Bengals through shootouts just to stay competitive. But the defense can’t get worse, right? Trey Hendrickson says, “Just wait!”

If the Bengals want to win, regression might not even be an option. Still, I’ve projected some: 4,437 yards and 37 TDs. Burrow remains one of the few pocket passers in the league who can single-handedly carry fantasy squads. He may lack the rushing floor of the tier above, but when the volume spikes, so does his weekly ceiling.

Joe Burrow – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  416
  600
  69.4%
  4437
  37
  11
  112
  0
  8
  374.19
  22.01

6. J.J. McCarthy - MINnesota vikings

Underdog: 16 | FastDraft: 15 | Sleeper: 16 | Dynasty Nerds: 21 | KTC: 18

We didn’t get to see J.J. McCarthy under center as a rookie; instead, Sam Darnold stepped in and surprisingly delivered a top-10 fantasy finish. But now, it’s McCarthy’s time, and I’m fully buying into Kevin O’Connell’s system dropping him at QB6. He has the arm talent, poise, and athleticism to thrive in this offense.

There’s plenty of extrapolation baked into this projection, but it’s not a stretch to say McCarthy is more physically gifted than Nick Mullens or Joshua Dobbs, who, at his peak with the Vikings, averaged 6 carries and over 30 rushing yards per game. I’m projecting a baseline of 300 rushing yards and 3 scores, with 500+ yards well within reach for the rookie.

On reflection, his touchdown rate might be a touch high and could get dialed back in my final update. Still, the rushing projection is closer to a floor than a ceiling. Between the scheme, the weapons, and the skill set, I’m confidently calling my shot: McCarthy is loaded with upside and will be one of the best draft-day values at quarterback in 2025.

J.J. McCarthy – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  364
  551
  66.0%
  4021
  32
  12
  310
  3
  7
  364.35
  21.43

7. Baker Mayfield - Tampa bay buccaneers

Underdog: 7 | FastDraft: 11 | Sleeper: 13 | Dynasty Nerds: 7 | KTC: 9

Baker Mayfield’s resurrection started in 2022, when he signed with the Rams and led a game-winning drive less than 48 hours after meeting his teammates. That flash turned into the Tampa Bay starting job, and looking like the player who went No. 1 overall back in 2018.

In 2024, Baker set career highs with 4,500 passing yards and 41 touchdowns. A regression in passing TDs feels inevitable; those numbers were electric, and I’m also projecting his rushing production to return closer to his career median.

This range is crowded with talented QBs, but Baker’s weekly blow-up potential keeps him firmly in the every-week starter conversation.

Baker Mayfield – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  386
  567
  68.0%
  4139
  33
  13
  218
  2
  8
  354.58
  20.86

TIER THREE | COMFY STREAMERS

8. Patrick Mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs

Underdog: 6 | FastDraft: 8 | Sleeper: 6 | Dynasty Nerds: 6 | KTC: 8

Patrick Mahomes is already a Hall of Famer in most fans’ minds, it’s hard to remember a Super Bowl that didn’t include him. But despite the rings, his fantasy production has taken a hit. The Chiefs have leaned on shorter throws and a punishing defense, which means Mahomes’ magic hasn’t been needed quite as often.

That may be about to change. Whether it’s due to Travis Kelce’s aging or a shift in offensive philosophy, a backfield of Pacheco and Kareem Hunt isn’t likely to carry them to another title. So, the path forward may rely on Mahomes airing it out more with explosive weapons like Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice.

I’m projecting a boost in yardage and touchdowns with similar volume, so if the pass attempts rise, Mahomes could make a quick jump in the rankings and recapture weekly top-tier confidence.

Patrick Mahomes – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  387
  578
  67.0%
  4160
  31
  12
  271
  2
  7
  352.11
  20.71

9. Justin Herbert - Los Angeles Chargers

Underdog: 16 | FastDraft: 16 | Sleeper: 9 | Dynasty Nerds: 12 | KTC: 10

Justin Herbert took a hit in volume last year, but made up for it with elite efficiency, finishing as the QB12 overall.

Heading into 2025, I’m projecting a slight bounce back in volume and production, thanks to an upgraded supporting cast and second year in the offense. Herbert’s rushing upside is underrated, and those surprise ground points can be matchup-winners.

Herbert might not return to his gunslinging peak just yet, but he’s still a rock-solid fantasy option, albeit more of a weekly streamer at this level.

Justin Herbert – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  357
  525
  68.0%
  3992
  26
  5
  371
  3
  5
  351.88
  20.70

10. C.J. Stroud - Houston Texans

Underdog: 19 | FastDraft: 20 | Sleeper: 11 | Dynasty Nerds: 18 | KTC: 11

After a dynamic rookie campaign, C.J. Stroud hit a sophomore slump that left fantasy managers frustrated. He struggled to produce consistently, and his receiving corps was in disarray, as no wide receiver played a full season or reached 100 targets.

Houston responded by trading for Christian Kirk and adding two more pass-catchers on Day 2 of the draft. That infusion of talent should stabilize the offense and help unlock a return to Stroud’s rookie-year efficiency. I predict a high speed, quick-passing offense to counter the weak OL and subpar running game.

He may not crack every-week starter status just yet, but Stroud should vastly outperform his late draft slot and regain value as a strong streamer with week-winning upside.

C.J. Stroud – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  360
  554
  65.0%
  4207
  29
  8
  226
  2
  6
  348.09
  20.48

11. Caleb Williams - Chicago Bears

Underdog: 13 | FastDraft: 14 | Sleeper: 8 | Dynasty Nerds: 9 | KTC: 21

So much hype, so little payoff in Year 1. Caleb Williams left the fantasy community wondering if the noise outweighed the substance. Then came the offseason... and even more hype. The Bears landed the bell of the coaching ball in Ben Johnson and doubled down by selecting pass catchers at picks 10 and 39.

I’ll admit it—I’m drinking the Kool-Aid. As both a fan and a fantasy manager, I’m fully aware of the bias here. I expect some correction in YPA and a few more fumbles. But, if you believe coaching held him back last year, it’s not a stretch to think Johnson can unlock the version of Caleb that earned the No. 1 overall selection.

He’s not an every-week starter in 1QB leagues just yet, but don’t be shocked when he drops a QB1 overall week.

Caleb Williams – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  360
  562
  64.0%
  3932
  27
  10
  374
  3
  6
  342.20
  20.13

12. Brock Purdy - San Franciso 49ers

Underdog: 10 | FastDraft: 13 | Sleeper: 15 | Dynasty Nerds: 15 | KTC: 15

Purdy has legit QB1 ceiling, and he’s already shown he can deliver stretches of fantasy beauty. But 2024 was awkward for San Francisco. The rhythm felt off, and the only normal feeling was the way the injuries piled up (as usual).

The vibes heading into 2025? Way better. CMC, Kittle, and Pearsall are healthy, and when Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings are back in the fold, they’ll be gravy on top of a fully loaded offense.

The 49ers attempted 533 passes last year, and if Purdy stays upright, I’ve got him setting career highs in both attempts and yards. The weapons and system give him a weekly shot at top-12 production.

Brock Purdy – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  348
  520
  67.0%
  4316
  29
  11
  182
  2
  6
  339.60
  19.98

TIER FOUR | ROLLERCOASTER

13. Trevor Lawrence - Jacksonville Jaguars

Underdog: 18 | FastDraft: 17 | Sleeper: 18 | Dynasty Nerds: 20 | KTC: 23

Trevor Lawrence has proven he can play through pain, but 2024 tested that limit. After missing just one game over his first three seasons, he sat out seven last year as the injuries finally caught up to him.

The Jaguars’ pass volume and talented receiving corps remain rock-solid, and Lawrence still offers a sneaky rushing floor. I’m projecting a step forward in his touchdown rate and expecting him to flirt with 30 passing TDs, a new career high.

Trevor Lawrence – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  370
  570
  65.0%
  3988
  28
  13
  268
  3
  7
  336.15
  19.77

14. Dak Prescott - Dallas Cowboys

Underdog: 11 | FastDraft: 9 | Sleeper: 21 | Dynasty Nerds: 10 | KTC: 16

Dak Prescott has walked the tightrope between QB1 upside and fantasy irrelevance, mostly due to injuries. Guess what? We’re entering a “good year” in the cycle!

He gets George Pickens added to the mix alongside CeeDee Lamb, and with a run game that looks shaky at best, Dallas will need to ride Dak’s arm to stack wins. I’m projecting another high-volume passing season, and if he stays healthy, he’s got the weapons and game script to flirt with top-10 numbers again.

Dak Prescott – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  394
  588
  67.0%
  4234
  30
  14
  203
  1
  7
  334.55
  19.68

15. Bo Nix - Denver Broncos

Underdog: 9 | FastDraft: 7 | Sleeper: 7 | Dynasty Nerds: 16 | KTC: 6

One of 2024’s biggest surprises, Bo Nix delivered a QB7 finish as a rookie under the watchful eye of Sean Payton, who hand-picked him for the job. A second-year leap feels like the logical next step, especially with a full offseason in the system.

But with an improved run game (only 4.1 YPC as a team in 2024), creating a more balanced attack, Nix will be a better QB, without necessarily posting bigger fantasy numbers. Expect some big weeks, but maybe not the overall statistical leap as many are projecting.

Bo Nix – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  359
  536
  67.0%
  3641
  27
  11
  394
  4
  7
  334.25
  19.66

16. Kyler Murray - Arizona Cardinals

Underdog: 8 | FastDraft: 10 | Sleeper: 14 | Dynasty Nerds: 8 | KTC: 13

Kyler’s rushing floor still gives him weekly upside, but his margin for error has widened. Injuries have chipped away at his efficiency and volume.

Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride will bring the splash plays and fuel some big weeks, but as long as James Conner remains the heartbeat of the offense, Kyler’s ceiling stays capped. The boom games will come, but weekly consistency feels like a thing of the past.

Kyler Murray – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  368
  549
  67.0%
  3840
  23
  11
  462
  4
  6
  328.05
  19.30

17. Jared Goff – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  378
  564
  67.0%
  4290
  29
  11
  70
  1
  6
  326.13
  19.18

DRAKE MAYE - NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Underdog: 13 | FastDraft: 12 | Sleeper: 10 | Dynasty Nerds: 11 | KTC: 7

18. Drake Maye – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  361
  538
  67.0%
  3606
  24
  11
  424
  4
  8
  318.45
  18.73

19. Jordan Love – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  339
  530
  64.0%
  3872
  29
  14
  123
  1
  5
  310.65
  18.27

TIER FIVE | RISKY BUISNESS

20. Matthew Stafford – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  364
  551
  66.0%
  4131
  28
  12
  55
  0
  5
  305.04
  17.94

21. Tua Tagovailoa – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  380
  551
  69.0%
  3914
  28
  11
  54
  1
  8
  298.57
  17.56

JUSTIN FIELDS - NEW YORK JETS

Underdog: 12 | FastDraft: 6 | Sleeper: 23 | Dynasty Nerds: 13 | KTC: 22

22. Justin Fields – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  290
  461
  63.0%
  3224
  18
  10
  566
  6
  6
  297.10
  17.48

23. Daniel Jones – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  91
  145
  63.0%
  897
  4
  3
  184
  2
  0
  87.09
  17.42

TIER SIX - SuperFlex ONLY

24. Bryce Young – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  349
  546
  64.0%
  3548
  22
  8
  290
  3
  8
  287.62
  16.92

25. Michael Penix Jr – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  361
  564
  64.0%
  4092
  23
  11
  130
  1
  7
  286.03
  16.83

26. Geno Smith – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  366
  538
  68.0%
  3874
  22
  12
  292
  1
  6
  282.59
  16.62

27. Sam Darnold – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  286
  433
  66.0%
  3115
  19
  8
  133
  1
  7
  228.55
  16.32

28. Cam Ward – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  315
  508
  62.0%
  3248
  19
  10
  311
  3
  5
  263.88
  15.52

29. Russell Wilson – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  205
  315
  65.0%
  2018
  15
  6
  117
  1
  7
  162.60
  14.78

30. Jaxon Dart – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  38
  57
  66.0%
  401
  3
  1
  25
  0
  1
  29.19
  14.60

31. Aaron Rodgers – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  341
  525
  65.0%
  3360
  23
  10
  60
  1
  7
  246.89
  14.52

32. Joe Flacco – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  91
  147
  62.0%
  1030
  6
  3
  16
  1
  6
  67.71
  13.54

33. Shedeur Sanders – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  210
  324
  65.0%
  2233
  11
  6
  62
  1
  6
  145.81
  13.26

34. Shane Rattler – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  155
  254
  61.0%
  1474
  5
  6
  180
  1
  7
  88.23
  11.03

35. Tyler Shough – 2025 Projection


  Cmp
  Att
  Cmp%
  Yds
  TD
  Int
  Rush Yds
  Rush TDs
  Fmb
  Total FP
  Fantasy PPG

  166
  286
  58.0%
  1744
  6
  10
  118
  1
  10
  85.83
  9.54

Kelli Hammersmith https://KHammersmith.com