Vet Fatigue Report - 06.07.25

Jalen Wright | RB | Miami Dolphins

KTC: RB45 | DynastyNerds: RB42 | DynastyDaddy: RB46

Current ADP Range: ~170 overall (Round 14)

Trend: Up from 185 overall (Round 15) over month; down 3+ rounds from 2024

Last year, the Dolphins had a plan for Jalen Wright. They traded a future 3rd-round pick to move up and get him, while restructuring Raheem Mostert’s deal as a proper reward for 2024. But everything unraveled. Mostert lost his burst, Tua almost lost his head, and Miami tried to funnel the entire offense through Achane, with wildly inefficient results. The team sputtered, and the fantasy stocks across the team cratered.

Now, in 2025, things have changed. Mostert is gone, replaced by slower Alexander Mattison and rookie Ollie Gordon, neither of whom concerns me. Achane remains the electric lead back, but expecting another 300-touch season from him is asking for more of the same imbalance. Wright is the X-factor, a speed/vision runner who could bring structure back to the offense. He’s not flashy, but his style fits the complementary role Miami badly needs.

His value has rebounded in the last month, but still hovering in the 14th round, three rounds lower than where he was being drafted a year ago. With RB40’s pricing across platforms, you’re betting on role clarity. And in a backfield that wants more structure and balance, role clarity turns into real production.

There’s a path to relevance here, and more if Achane misses time. Wright could walk into 15 highly efficient touches per game. That’s not something you usually find this deep in drafts, and it’s certainly worth trading for if the price stays this quiet.

This Shouldn’t Even Be Close.
Scan the names being picked around him, it becomes obvious. His talent and situation outclass the tier, and that’s where value lives.

Trade Value Falling. ADP Climbing.
His value is declining in trade circles, even as his ADP has climbed a full round over the last month. Make a move when public sentiment fades, but draft behavior tells a different story. The market may not be screaming, but the demand is rising.

This Is the Going Rate — But Also the Ceiling.
A mid-to-late 2nd is a common price tag for Jalen Wright, and managers seem willing to pay it. You’re not getting a discount, you’re paying the max. The question isn’t whether he’s worth it... it’s whether you have to pay it.

You Don’t Always Have to Lead With the 2nd.
A late 3rd and a small sweetener has been a common way to land Jalen Wright, and it works more often than you’d think. You’re not insulting anyone with that kind of offer, especially for a player who hasn’t secured long-term value. With Wright, it’s smart to test the waters before tossing out a 2nd. Sometimes the discount is there, all you have to do is ask.

Flip the Name Value Before the Volume Disappears.
Pacheco still carries weight thanks to his name, but his volume likely peaked last season. Packaging him for Jalen Wright (who carries a 2nd-round price tag) plus a little extra gives you a shot at multiple upside outcomes instead of clinging to a declining one.

Don’t Sell a Market-Backed Asset for Vibes.
Some managers are low on Wright, or simply giant Estime fans, and are willing to flip him for scraps. But that’s not how you move a player with real market value. Wright is holding firm as a 2nd round asset across leagues. If you're trading him, shoot for the best offer, even if you don’t believe.

Verdict: Buy Jalen Wright
His value is growing, and his path gives him a shot at major upside. While his ceiling price is a mid-to-late 2nd, some managers barely value him at all. Use that to your advantage. Start with players they like or late picks before committing to full price. You don’t always have to pay the market.

Marshawn Lloyd | RB | Green Bay Packers

KTC: RB58 | DynastyNerds: RB55 | DynastyDaddy: RB57

Current ADP Range: 200–210 overall (Rounds 16–17)

Trend: Down over 5 rounds from this time last year (was ~150 overall)

A year ago, MarShawn Lloyd was a hot, day 2 prospect with round 10-11 startup draft value. Fast forward to today, and he’s slid over five full rounds, buried beneath the hype of this historic 2025 rookie class and concerns over his durability. But while the dynasty community forgets, Green Bay hasn’t. The Packers made no additions at running back this offseason, confidently rolling forward with Josh Jacobs as the starter and Lloyd as his direct backup.

Jacobs saw 337 touches in 2024, the fifth most in the league. He’s expected to shoulder a heavy load in 2025, but the Packers will make a more concerted effort to keep him fresh. If Lloyd can stay healthy, there’s a legitimate path for him to seize the No. 2 role outright in an offense that wants to run the ball.

The talent is there. Lloyd remains a dynamic runner with juice and pass-catching ability, and his slide is largely due to recency bias and an overcorrection to new rookies flooding the board. At this price, the cost is nothing for a back who could be one injury from RB1 workload. He’s a classic late-round stash with standalone upside.

He’s Being Drafted Like Something Changed — But Nothing Did.
MarShawn Lloyd’s value took a post-draft hit, but it’s already recovered. His startup ADP, though, hasn’t caught up, down in the 17th round, over five rounds later than last year. Yet the Packers’ depth chart remains the same: Jacobs as the lead, Lloyd as the direct backup. I’d still take Jalen Wright over him, but Lloyd stands out above the names being drafted in his range. If nothing changed but the price dropped, that’s a buying window.

This Is a Bet on Talent, Not Immediate Workload.
I’m high on Lloyd and believe he deserves more touches, but let’s be clear: he’s not earning a David Montgomery role without a Jacobs injury. This is a stash-and-hold play. Jacobs is a two-year minimum starter in Green Bay, which is a long time in running back years.

These Are the Deals to Target.
MarShawn Lloyd is the kind of player you should be able to land for a 3rd-round pick or less. He’s not a premium asset, but there’s a path to touches and a talent profile that’s being overlooked.

Cashing Out High? Lloyd’s a Piece to Target Back.
If you’re moving off a high-end RB like CMC or Kyren, these are the kinds of deals I like. CMC might win you a title, or break your heart with one injury. Kyren holds strong value now, but it's fragile long term. In both cases, folding Lloyd into the return as a minor piece lets you bank value. He’s the type of player who could matter sooner than later, exactly what you want on the back end of a sell-high move.

You Just Stole the Packers Backfield.
Securing both Jacobs and Lloyd for Pacheco, Jordan Mason, and a late 2nd is straight-up robbery. You’re getting the meat and potatoes of a high-volume backfield in exchange for lower-tier RBs and a pick that rarely hits. This is how you consolidate questionable assets into startable value.

Verdict: Buy MarShawn Lloyd
We didn’t get to see Lloyd on the field last year, but the Packers’ offseason actions spoke loudly. His talent and draft capital are still intact. At this price, he’s being slept on. If you’re hesitant to give up a 3rd, get creative, try adding Lloyd as a secondary piece, or squeeze another asset into the deal. If he stays healthy, I believe Lloyd will be a solid fantasy contributor.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | New York Giants

DynastyNerds: RB27 | KTC: RB33 | DynastyDaddy: RB34

Current ADP Range: 115-120 overall; mid-late 9th round

Trend: Down 2+ rounds since the NFL Draft

Tyrone Tracy finished shy of RB2 status in 2024 and was RB14 in half-PPR formats from Weeks 5–17. Yet, despite that strong stretch, his value has declined following the NFL Draft. His current Sleeper ADP sits at RB31, down over two rounds from pre-draft levels, all because of Cam Skattebo’s arrival. The market is fading Tracy like he’s lost the job.

Skattebo’s addition does create more competition, and Devin Singletary is the best pass blocker on the roster, but it doesn’t erase Tracy’s role. He profiles as the most explosive back on the roster, especially in space. The inside runs will favor Skattebo, but Tracy will lead the team in total touches.

I expect this offense’s efficiency will improve with Russell Wilson under center, or, if chaos reigns, Jameis Winston. Either way, these quarterbacks lead to more opportunities and fantasy points. Tracy’s 192 carries and 53 targets are sustainable, and the idea that his volume will crater is a stretch.

He’s not a league-winner, but Tracy is being priced like a bench stash rather than a 1A in a rising offense. That’s a clear buying window. He’s not going anywhere, and if the Giants land in the middle third of the league offensively, Tracy should return consistent, flex-worthy value with RB2 upside.

The Market’s Overreacting — Tracy Still Has the Juice in this Backfield.
Managers have been moving off Tyrone Tracy since the draft, and while the fear is understandable, it’s also an overcorrection. Tracy brings a level of explosiveness that his backfield counterparts don’t match. The role may shift slightly, but the talent, and the upside, are very much intact.

A 2-Round Drop in One Month Is Hard to Ignore.
Tracy’s ADP has slid more than two full rounds since the draft, that’s not just noise. At least six rookies have jumped him on draft boards, and he’s now locked in a backfield battle before the season even starts. The fall is tied to real competition, both in the market and on his own roster. The question isn’t just whether he holds value — it’s whether he can hold onto his role.

It’s Okay to Be High on Tracy — and Still Trade Him.
Chase Brown has grown on me, especially after Cincinnati avoided RB in the draft. I like Tracy, but this is one of those moments where you recognize an opportunity to make a smart upgrade. Brown has a cleaner runway and rising value, but you might be surprised how open managers are to the swap. I support trading away Tracy to upgrade.

People Are Overpaying for Tracy
Ricky Pearsall is a hot offseason name, and we’re seeing him moved straight up for Tyrone Tracy. That’s a steep price, and honestly, a bit shocking. For a player who’s dropped two rounds in ADP since the draft, the trade market still has suitors.

Neither Side Is Wrong.
Jayden Reed vs. Tyrone Tracy is a fun trade to review. I see Reed as the ceiling swing, a player with Deebo-like versatility if the targets ever come. Tracy, despite the rookie competition, feels like the stronger floor player.

Win-Now Deals Where Tracy Makes More Sense.
If I’m contending, there are plenty of spots where I’d trade for Tracy. I don’t trust the week-to-week consistency of Keon Coleman, and Jake Ferguson still feels too raw to lock into a lineup. Trey Benson comes down to preference and risk tolerance.

Getting a Plus With Tracy Is a Win.
If I can move off Travis Etienne and land Tracy in the deal, I’m listening. If I’m also getting a plus on top? That’s a huge win. Etienne’s value feels stuck in neutral. This is the forward-thinking pivot that can age beautifully.

The Tracy Trade Up
Derrick Henry feels like a can’t-miss piece for 2025, and TreVeyon Henderson is one of the top RBs in the class. Adding a 1st to Tracy is a fair offer in either direction. But if I have the choice, I’m taking the Henderson side, it gives me a shot to stay competitive longer despite a smaller 2025 ceiling.

In Superflex, This Is a Clean Win.
Landing Bo Nix at this price in SF feels fair on its own, but adding Tracy to the deal is just sharp execution. You secure a potential starting QB and a flex-worthy RB with upside, all without overspending. That’s how you build depth and upside without spending extra capital.

Verdict: Hold or Upgrade
I’m a Tracy believer. I loaded up last year and currently have him projected around RB26–30. That’s a valuable piece for your roster. But there’s undeniably more risk heading into this season than coming out of the last. Cam Skattebo brings a more physical profile and will siphon off touches, while Tracy still profiles as the more elusive, complementary option.

If you can move off that risk and pivot into a more secure back without overpaying, I’m open to it. But don’t sell low because of a little Skattebo camp buzz. Tracy still has a role and a market. Hold the line unless the value is right.