The Hype Index - 05.12.25
Welcome to the inaugural edition of The Hype Index — where hype is currency, coachspeak is gospel, and someone in your league is making a mistake you can profit from.
We're deep enough into the offseason for narratives to mutate fully. One rookie goes from draft-day afterthought to WR3 on your depth chart in two weeks. Another takes a slight tumble in value, and suddenly he's radioactive. And the trades? Oh, the trades. Let’s say there’s a fine line between dynasty strategy and fantasy fraudulence.
I will be utilizing data from KTC, Dynasty Daddy, and Dynasty Nerds to build a well-rounded view of the current rookie landscape — a trifecta of tools to keep this index rooted in both market value and varying manager behavior.
This week, we’ve got a pair of risers trying to crash the top 50, a blue-chip prospect slipping just enough to raise questions, and a sell-high candidate whose value balloon might be ready to pop. Let’s dive in before the market shifts again
Kyle Williams | WR | New England Patriots | WR237 ⟶ WR61
Why he’s rising:
Remember when Kyle Williams was a fringe UDFA in your rookie ranks? Yeah, me neither. He pole-vaulted from WR237 to WR61 after the Patriots took him in the 3rd round. That’s not a typo. All it takes is Day 2 draft capital and a WR room made of papier mâché to become the next big thing.Dynasty Impact:
The path to relevance is… embarrassingly clear. There’s not a single locked-in starter in New England, and their offense is a startup company looking for an identity. If Kyle can run a route without tripping, he’s already ahead. Toss in a young QB who’ll hyper-target anyone who can get open, and you’ve got a recipe for 6–7 targets a game by midseason.Action to Take:
🔥BUY THE HYPE
Yes, I’m drinking the Kool-Aid. No, I won’t apologize when it tastes like regret later. Buy with your 3rd round rookie pick (while you still can).
Jack Bech | WR | Las Vegas Raiders | WR125 ⟶WR49
Why he’s rising:
It started with a cute little Senior Bowl buzz. Then came the pre-draft helium. And then... BOOM — the Raiders used a 2nd-round pick on Jack Bech, launching him from “Hey that guy might get a camp invite” to WR49 overnight. We're witnessing a masterclass in prospect inflation, folks.Dynasty Impact:
Look, I don’t hate the guy. Bech can play. But WR49? That assumes he's leapfrogging Jacoby Meyers, surviving Brock Bowers' gravitational pull, and dodging the Ashton Jeanty backfield black hole. He’ll flash with a tough redzone grab and he’ll make a highlight block or two. But consistent weekly value? You're dreaming.Action to Take:
💰 SELL THE DRAFT CAPITAL @ 2.06
If someone in your league is treating Bech like the next Puka Nacua, hand them the paperwork and walk away whistling. Draft in the 3rd, sell for a 2nd
Luther Burden | WR | Chicago Bears | WR23 ⟶ WR32
Why he’s falling:
Two months ago, Luther Burden was being whispered about as a future WR2 in dynasty circles. Fast-forward past the combine, interviews, and the magnifying glass of pre-draft buzz, and suddenly we’re all seeing the cracks in the armor. The talent? Still there. The attitude? …let’s call it “pending review.”Dynasty Impact:
Chicago said, “Character concerns be damned,” and pulled the trigger early in the 2nd round. So yeah, he’s going to play. He might even make splash plays. But splashes doesn’t equal consistency — especially not with DJ Moore and Rome Odunze still eating and an even higher drafted capital TE in Colston Loveland.Action to Take:
💰 SELL THE TALENT
Let someone else talk themselves into the upside. You take the picks and run before this turns into another cautionary tale. The ceiling may be exciting, but you’ll need to pay that early 2nd rookie pick to draft him and I'm looking elsewhere.
Travis Hunter | WR | Jacksonville Jaguars | WR40 ⟶WR13
Why to sell:
Just two months ago, everyone was convinced Travis Hunter was going to be a lockdown corner who might be involved for a few targets a game. Fast forward to today, and he’s magically morphed into a future fantasy WR1, lining up opposite Brian Thomas Jr. What changed? Coachspeak. Vibes. The GM traded so many picks for Hunter; I thought they were drafting an entire position group.Value Window:
His rocket ride from WR40 to WR13 isn’t just steep—it’s unstable. He’s priced like he’s already produced. Spoiler alert: He hasn’t. There’s no guarantee this experiment sticks, and when it doesn’t, your sell window closes faster than the Jaguars playoff push.Action to Take:
💰 TRADE HIM NOW.
If someone’s sending legit WR1 packages for Travis “Maybe I’m a WR” Hunter, let them. You’ll sleep better with real points instead of wishful dual-role chaos.
Dynasty Trade Alert: AJ Brown for Travis Hunter
Actual Trade made on 5/2/25
You Traded WHO for a WHAT?
Really? Already? We’re out here moving on from a 27-year-old fantasy monster in his prime for the hope that Travis Hunter becomes something close to AJB… someday? Look, I get it—Hunter is shiny and wearing that “what if” cologne—but AJ Brown is the cheat code you hope Hunter becomes, and he’s already doing it.
Hunter doesn’t have AJB’s ceiling, floor, or track record. And if I can flip the hype for a fully operational WR1 with elite weekly output, that’s not just a win—it’s theft with a receipt.
Smash accept. Close the laptop. Celebrate responsibly.
Dynasty Trade Alert: Marvin Harrison Jr. for Travis Hunter + Keon Coleman
Actual Trade made on 5/2/25
Marv’s Floor Is Their Ceiling
Let’s be real—Marvin Harrison Jr. didn’t have a bad rookie year. He just didn’t immediately teleport into the top 5 WR ranks like fantasy Twitter dreamed he would. That’s not failure—that’s reality. And now that the shine has dulled just enough, some poor soul is out here flipping him for Travis Hunter and Keon Coleman.
This is how dynasty fortunes are made. You don’t “buy low” by fishing for waiver scraps—you buy mispriced greatness. If you can use Travis Hunter’s glow-up and Keon’s name-brand value to snag Marv? That’s not a trade. That’s legalized robbery.
Bookmark this. Because when Marv inevitably hits his stride, you’ll want receipts.
